High Emission Scenario Substantially Damages China's Photovoltaic Potential
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Lu, Ning3; Yao, Ling3; Qin, Jun3; Yang, Kun1; Wild, Martin2; Jiang, Hou3 |
| 刊名 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2022-10-28 |
| 卷号 | 49期号:20页码:8 |
| 关键词 | solar photovoltaic climate change CMIP6 |
| ISSN号 | 0094-8276 |
| DOI | 10.1029/2022GL100068 |
| 通讯作者 | Qin, Jun(qinjun@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Wild, Martin(martin.wild@env.ethz.ch) |
| 英文摘要 | Quantifying future changes in solar photovoltaic (PV) potential is of great significance for energy planning and policy making to achieve carbon neutrality. To constrain the uncertainties of applying directly Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) projections to such quantification, we construct the performance-weighted CMIP6 solar irradiance and air temperature data, and then assess the future changes in China's PV potential and accompanying economic benefits under three typical climate change scenarios. We find that the high emission scenario will substantially damage China's PV potential, resulting in a reduction of 314 TWh/year in electricity generation by the planned installed capacity in 2100, with a corresponding loss of US $25 billion/year. However, the low emission scenario will enhance the PV potential, yielding an additional electricity generation of 226 TWh/year and a corresponding bonus of US $18 billion/year in 2100. China's commitment to carbon neutrality will lead to low-carbon emissions, which brings great economic rewards to its PV industry. |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41971312] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41890854] ; Third Xinjiang Scientific Expedition Program[2021xjkk0303] |
| WOS研究方向 | Geology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000870517000001 |
| 出版者 | AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Third Xinjiang Scientific Expedition Program |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/185936]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Qin, Jun; Wild, Martin |
| 作者单位 | 1.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, Zurich, Switzerland 3.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lu, Ning,Yao, Ling,Qin, Jun,et al. High Emission Scenario Substantially Damages China's Photovoltaic Potential[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2022,49(20):8. |
| APA | Lu, Ning,Yao, Ling,Qin, Jun,Yang, Kun,Wild, Martin,&Jiang, Hou.(2022).High Emission Scenario Substantially Damages China's Photovoltaic Potential.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,49(20),8. |
| MLA | Lu, Ning,et al."High Emission Scenario Substantially Damages China's Photovoltaic Potential".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 49.20(2022):8. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。