Scenario analysis of emissions structure under climate change in China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Wang, Guofeng4; Wu, Chengliang5; Wang, Jingyu5; Chen, Jiancheng5; Li, Zhihui1,2,3 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
 |
| 出版日期 | 2018-12-01 |
| 卷号 | 203页码:708-717 |
| 关键词 | Energy structure Carbon emissions Scenarios Future development |
| ISSN号 | 0959-6526 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.08.045 |
| 英文摘要 | This study calculated the CO2 emissions clue to fossil fuel consumption in China during 2000-2015 with consideration of the regional coal-, oil-, and gas-related variations. We used logarithmic mean Divisia index methods to establish the primary influencing factors of CO2 emissions, and we extended the UK National Ecosystem Assessment Scenarios to forecast future CO2 emissions related to fossil fuel use during 2020-2030. It was determined economic development is the main reason for increased CO2 emissions, and that energy intensity and energy structure decreased CO2 emissions. Finally, we considered six scenarios to predict the future development of coal, oil, and gas consumption in China. Six scenarios including Go with the Flow, Nature@work, Green and Pleasant Land, World Market, National Security and Local Stewardship, results show Green and Pleasant Land will induced coal and oil emission decrease and gas emission slightly increase. The results obtained based on analysis of CO2 emissions and identification of regional influencing factors could provide useful information for decision makers regarding the allocation of fossil fuel use. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
| WOS关键词 | ENERGY-CONSUMPTION ; ECONOMIC-GROWTH ; CARBON-DIOXIDE ; ROAD TRANSPORT ; OECD COUNTRIES ; MITIGATION ; PERFORMANCE ; STRATEGIES ; EFFICIENCY ; MALAYSIA |
| 资助项目 | National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA0602500] |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000447568700055 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER SCI LTD |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/52648]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 4.Shanxi Univ Finance & Econ, Fac Int Trade, Taiyuan 030060, Shanxi, Peoples R China 5.Beijing Forestry Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Guofeng,Wu, Chengliang,Wang, Jingyu,et al. Scenario analysis of emissions structure under climate change in China[J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,2018,203:708-717. |
| APA | Wang, Guofeng,Wu, Chengliang,Wang, Jingyu,Chen, Jiancheng,&Li, Zhihui.(2018).Scenario analysis of emissions structure under climate change in China.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,203,708-717. |
| MLA | Wang, Guofeng,et al."Scenario analysis of emissions structure under climate change in China".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 203(2018):708-717. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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