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Long-term projection of future climate change over the twenty-first century in the Sahara region in Africa under four Shared Socio-Economic Pathways scenarios

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Guo, Qingchun3,4; He, Zhenfang2,4; Wang, Zhaosheng1
刊名ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
出版日期2022-10-26
页码11
关键词Climate change Sahara Shared Socio-Economic Pathways Future Greenhouse gas
ISSN号0944-1344
DOI10.1007/s11356-022-23813-z
通讯作者Guo, Qingchun(guoqingchun@lcu.edu.cn) ; He, Zhenfang(hezhenfang@lcu.edu.cn) ; Wang, Zhaosheng(wangzs@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要Climate change affects air quality and people's health. Therefore, accurate prediction of future climate change is of great significance for human beings to better adapt and mitigate climate change. Using the projection simulation dataset of the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble, the future climate change in the Sahara region under the four scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) is analyzed. The results show that annual and seasonal average surface air temperature in the Sahara region will continue to rise throughout the twenty-first century relative to the baseline period 1995-2014 if greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations continue increasing. Under the four SSPs scenarios, the warming in the Sahara region will be more pronounced than in the whole world through the twenty-first century. The annual maximum temperature (TX), the annual minimum temperature (TN), the annual count of days with maximum temperature above 35 degrees C (TX 35), and the annual count of days with maximum temperature above 40 degrees C (TX 40) in the Sahara region will continue to increase until the end of the twenty-first century under the four scenarios. The results of climate change prediction can provide scientific reference for climate policy-making.
WOS关键词CHANGE IMPACTS ; WARMING WELL ; MONSOON ; PLEDGES ; ASIA
资助项目National Natural Science Fund of China[41572150] ; Shandong Province Higher Educational Humanities and Social Science Fund[J18RA196] ; State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology Found[SKLLQG1907]
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000871854300004
出版者SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
资助机构National Natural Science Fund of China ; Shandong Province Higher Educational Humanities and Social Science Fund ; State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology Found
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/186033]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Guo, Qingchun; He, Zhenfang; Wang, Zhaosheng
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Natl Ecosyst Sci Data Ctr, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modeling, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Ecoenvironm Sci, State Key Lab Urban & Reg Ecol, Beijing 100085, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Earth Environm, State Key Lab Loess & Quaternary Geol, Xian 710061, Peoples R China
4.Liaocheng Univ, Sch Geog & Environm, Liaocheng 252000, Shandong, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Guo, Qingchun,He, Zhenfang,Wang, Zhaosheng. Long-term projection of future climate change over the twenty-first century in the Sahara region in Africa under four Shared Socio-Economic Pathways scenarios[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH,2022:11.
APA Guo, Qingchun,He, Zhenfang,&Wang, Zhaosheng.(2022).Long-term projection of future climate change over the twenty-first century in the Sahara region in Africa under four Shared Socio-Economic Pathways scenarios.ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH,11.
MLA Guo, Qingchun,et al."Long-term projection of future climate change over the twenty-first century in the Sahara region in Africa under four Shared Socio-Economic Pathways scenarios".ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH (2022):11.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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