Long-Term Baseflow Responses to Projected Climate Change in the Weihe River Basin, Loess Plateau, China
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Zhang, Junlong10; Zhao, Panpan9; Zhang, Yongqiang8; Cheng, Lei6,7; Song, Jinxi5; Fu, Guobin4; Wang, Yetang10; Liu, Qiang3; Lyu, Shixuan2,10; Qi, Shanzhong10 |
刊名 | REMOTE SENSING |
出版日期 | 2022-10-01 |
卷号 | 14期号:20页码:17 |
关键词 | baseflow Weihe River Basin Loess Plateau climate change General Circulation Models |
DOI | 10.3390/rs14205097 |
通讯作者 | Zhao, Panpan(zhaopanpan@ncwu.edu.cn) |
英文摘要 | Climate change is a significant force influencing catchment hydrological processes, such as baseflow, i.e., the contribution of delayed pathways to streamflow in drought periods and is associated with catchment drought propagation. The Weihe River Basin is a typical arid and semi-arid catchment on the Loess Plateau in northwest China. Baseflow plays a fundamental role in the provision of water and environmental functions at the catchment scale. However, the baseflow variability in the projected climate change is not well understood. In this study, forcing meteorological data were derived from two climate scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) of three representative general circulation models (CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, MIROC5, and FGOALSg2) in CMIP5 and then were used as inputs in the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrological model to simulate future streamflow. Finally, a well-revised baseflow separation method was implemented to estimate the baseflow to investigate long-term (historical (1960-2012) and future (2010-2054) periods) baseflow variability patterns. We found (1) that baseflow showed a decreasing trend in some simulations of future climatic conditions but not in all scenarios (p < 0.05), (2) that the contribution of baseflow to streamflow (i.e., baseflow index) amounted to approximately 45%, with a slightly increasing trend (p <= 0.001), and (3) an increased frequency of severe hydrological drought events in the future (2041-2053) due to baseflows much lower than current annual averages. This study benefits the scientific management of water resources in regional development and provides references for the semi-arid or water-limited catchments. |
WOS关键词 | LAND-USE CHANGE ; FLOW INDEX ; RECESSION ANALYSIS ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; SWAT MODEL ; WATER ; GROUNDWATER ; STREAMFLOW ; RUNOFF ; CATCHMENT |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[42001034] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42101038] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41701022] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[51679200] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42207100] ; Key Research and Development Program of Shaanxi[2019ZDLSF05-02] ; Project for Outstanding Youth Innovation Team in the Universities of Shandong Province[2019KJH011] ; Natural Science Foundation of the Shandong Province[ZR2019BD059] ; Postdoctoral Funding of China[2018M642692] ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP)[2019QZKK0903] ; Key Science and Technology Program of Henan Province, China[222102320083] |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Remote Sensing ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | MDPI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000873690200001 |
资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Key Research and Development Program of Shaanxi ; Project for Outstanding Youth Innovation Team in the Universities of Shandong Province ; Natural Science Foundation of the Shandong Province ; Postdoctoral Funding of China ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP) ; Key Science and Technology Program of Henan Province, China |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/186230] |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Zhao, Panpan |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Bristol, Dept Civil Engn, Bristol BS8 1TR, Avon, England 3.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Lab Water Environm Simulat, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 4.CSIRO Land & Water, Wembley, WA 6913, Australia 5.Northwest Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Shaanxi Key Lab Earth Surface Syst & Environm Car, Xian 710127, Peoples R China 6.Hubei Prov Collaborat Innovat Ctr Water Resources, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China 7.Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China 8.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 9.North China Univ Water Resources & Elect Power, Coll Water Resources, Zhengzhou 450045, Peoples R China 10.Shandong Normal Univ, Coll Geog & Environm, Jinan 250358, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Junlong,Zhao, Panpan,Zhang, Yongqiang,et al. Long-Term Baseflow Responses to Projected Climate Change in the Weihe River Basin, Loess Plateau, China[J]. REMOTE SENSING,2022,14(20):17. |
APA | Zhang, Junlong.,Zhao, Panpan.,Zhang, Yongqiang.,Cheng, Lei.,Song, Jinxi.,...&Zhang, Guotao.(2022).Long-Term Baseflow Responses to Projected Climate Change in the Weihe River Basin, Loess Plateau, China.REMOTE SENSING,14(20),17. |
MLA | Zhang, Junlong,et al."Long-Term Baseflow Responses to Projected Climate Change in the Weihe River Basin, Loess Plateau, China".REMOTE SENSING 14.20(2022):17. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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