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Carbon neutrality of China's passenger car sector requires coordinated short-term behavioral changes and long-term technological solutions

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Chen, Wu13; Sun, Xi11,12; Liu, Litao10; Liu, Xiaojie10; Zhang, Rui9; Zhang, Shaohui2,3; Xue, Jinju4,5; Surr, Qian1,13; Wang, Minxi13; Li, Xin6,13
刊名ONE EARTH
出版日期2022-08-19
卷号5期号:8页码:875-891
ISSN号2590-3330
DOI10.1016/j.oneear.2022.07.005
通讯作者Liu, Xiaojie(liuxj@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Ge, Quansheng(geqs@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Liu, Gang(liuxj@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要The passenger car sector accounts for nearly half of all transport-related emissions. Rapid decarbonization is therefore important but challenging, particularly in China, where, despite recent emission peak (by 2030) and carbon-neutrality (by 2060) pledges, car ownership and associated emissions are increasing. Successful emissions reduction will require a rapid transition of both technology (e.g., toward electrification) and demand (e.g., driving less). However, how to successfully deploy these twin strategies for optimal outcomes remains unclear. Here, we develop an integrated fleet dynamics model that considers emissions associated with car manufacturing, operation, end-of-life recycling, and energy supply along-side socioeconomic changes. Our analyses reveal that optimal short-term results will be achieved through demand-oriented strategies, which can reduce emissions by 22% and achieve 2030 emissions peak targets. Technology-oriented strategies are more optimal when deployed in the longer term and can result in emission reductions of 91%. A successfully coordinated strategy could reduce China's passenger cars CO2 emissions to 0.05 Gt by 2050.
WOS关键词LIFE-CYCLE ASSESSMENT ; PLUG-IN HYBRID ; ELECTRIC VEHICLES ; MATERIAL SUBSTITUTION ; VS. ELECTRIFICATION ; STOCK DYNAMICS ; MATERIAL FLOWS ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; GLOBAL FLOW ; LITHIUM-ION
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China (Basic Science Center Project)[72088101] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China (Basic Science Center Project)[71991484] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China (Basic Science Center Project)[71991480] ; Independent Research Fund Denmark (ReCAP) ; Villum Fonden through the Villum Center for Science of Sustainable Fuels and Chem- icals[9455] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71904007] ; FRIEND (Fine Particle Research Initiative in East Asia Considering National Dif- ferences) Project through the National Research Foundation of Korea[2020M3G1A1114621] ; Higher Education Discipline Innovation Project of China[B18014]
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
出版者ELSEVIER
WOS记录号WOS:000863201200010
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China (Basic Science Center Project) ; Independent Research Fund Denmark (ReCAP) ; Villum Fonden through the Villum Center for Science of Sustainable Fuels and Chem- icals ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; FRIEND (Fine Particle Research Initiative in East Asia Considering National Dif- ferences) Project through the National Research Foundation of Korea ; Higher Education Discipline Innovation Project of China
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/185953]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Liu, Xiaojie; Ge, Quansheng; Liu, Gang
作者单位1.Southwest Petr Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Chengdu 637001, Peoples R China
2.Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
3.Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
4.Ctr Hubei Cooperat Innovat Emiss Trading Syst, Wuhan 430205, Peoples R China
5.Nagoya Univ, Sino Carbon Carbon Neutral Innovat Joint Lab, Nagoya 4648601, Japan
6.Chengdu Univ Technol, Coll Management Sci, Chengdu 610051, Peoples R China
7.Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Ecoenvironm Sci, Key Lab Urban & Reg Ecol, Beijing 100085, Peoples R China
8.Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Energy & Proc Engn, Ecol Programme, N-7491 Trondheim, Norway
9.Univ Southern Denmark, Dept Math & Comp Sci, DK-5230 Odense, Denmark
10.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Chen, Wu,Sun, Xi,Liu, Litao,et al. Carbon neutrality of China's passenger car sector requires coordinated short-term behavioral changes and long-term technological solutions[J]. ONE EARTH,2022,5(8):875-891.
APA Chen, Wu.,Sun, Xi.,Liu, Litao.,Liu, Xiaojie.,Zhang, Rui.,...&Liu, Gang.(2022).Carbon neutrality of China's passenger car sector requires coordinated short-term behavioral changes and long-term technological solutions.ONE EARTH,5(8),875-891.
MLA Chen, Wu,et al."Carbon neutrality of China's passenger car sector requires coordinated short-term behavioral changes and long-term technological solutions".ONE EARTH 5.8(2022):875-891.

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来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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