Prospective climate change impacts on China's fossil and renewable power-generation infrastructure: Regional and plant-level analyses
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Huang, Chen4,5; Zhu, Yuyao4,5; Ren, Ming4,5; Zhang, Pei1; Chen, Yingchao3; Dai, Hancheng5; Tan, Xianchun2 |
| 刊名 | RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING
 |
| 出版日期 | 2023 |
| 卷号 | 188页码:11 |
| 关键词 | Climate risk Power infrastructure Climate resilience Climate adaptation |
| ISSN号 | 0921-3449 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.resconrec.2022.106704 |
| 通讯作者 | Tan, Xianchun(txc@casisd.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | The energy infrastructure has emitted massive GHGs and will suffer greatly from climate risks. Given China's largest installed capacity globally, assessing climate impacts on diverse power infrastructures will yield critical risk information and support climate-resilient policymaking. However, lacking detailed plant-level data and ignoring the integrated infrastructural management of adaptation and mitigation priorly impede an in-depth evaluation. By employing high-coverage and-resolution plant-level data and the outputs of six CMIP6 models, we evaluate the pending climate impacts on five power-production sources at the interprovincial and plant levels in China. We find a pervasive negative impact on China's power sector, and the adverse effects expand over time (short-term: 214-342 TWh, long-term: 268-397 TWh, 25-75% quantile). For different future scenarios, the greater the radiative forcing, the greater the loss of power generation. Fossil-related production loss will completely offset the gain in most provinces from renewable power, with an overall negative impact in these regions. Besides, two evident phenomena occur: First, spatial heterogeneity appears across diverse provinces; second, a critical minority of China's plants with a low capacity share contribute to the main body of climate impacts. We consider the need for a targeted coal decommissioning strategy for climate adaptation. |
| WOS关键词 | ADAPTATION ; MITIGATION ; SYNERGY |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[72140007] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72004122] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72073003] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71810107001] ; Youth Academic Program in Area Studies of Peking University[7101602310] ; Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province[G2021202013] ; Hong Kong RGC-CRF[C7041-21G] |
| WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000875611800005 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Youth Academic Program in Area Studies of Peking University ; Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province ; Hong Kong RGC-CRF |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/186444]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Tan, Xianchun |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Reg Sustainable Dev Modeling, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Shandong Technol & Business Univ, Econ Sch, Yantai, Peoples R China 4.Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Laxenburg, Austria 5.Peking Univ, Coll Environm Sci & Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Huang, Chen,Zhu, Yuyao,Ren, Ming,et al. Prospective climate change impacts on China's fossil and renewable power-generation infrastructure: Regional and plant-level analyses[J]. RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING,2023,188:11. |
| APA | Huang, Chen.,Zhu, Yuyao.,Ren, Ming.,Zhang, Pei.,Chen, Yingchao.,...&Tan, Xianchun.(2023).Prospective climate change impacts on China's fossil and renewable power-generation infrastructure: Regional and plant-level analyses.RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING,188,11. |
| MLA | Huang, Chen,et al."Prospective climate change impacts on China's fossil and renewable power-generation infrastructure: Regional and plant-level analyses".RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING 188(2023):11. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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