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How do China's lockdown and post-COVID-19 stimuli impact carbon emissions and economic output? Retrospective estimates and prospective trajectories

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Shao, Shuai1; Wang, Chang2,3; Feng, Kuo4,5; Guo, Yue6,7,8; Feng, Fan9; Shan, Yuli10,11; Meng, Jing12; Chen, Shiyi2,13
刊名ISCIENCE
出版日期2022-05-20
卷号25期号:5页码:20
DOI10.1016/j.isci.2022.104328
通讯作者Shan, Yuli(y.shan@rug.nl) ; Meng, Jing(jing.j.meng@ucl.ac.uk) ; Chen, Shiyi(shiyichen@fudan.edu.cn)
英文摘要This paper develops a multi-sector and multi-factor structural gravity model that allows an analytical and quantitative decomposition of the emission and output changes into composition and technique effects. We find that the negative production shock of China's containment policy propagates globally via supply chains, with the carbon-intensive sectors experiencing the greatest carbon emission shocks. We further reveal that China's current stimulus package in 2021-2025 is consistent with China's emission intensity-reduction goals for 2025, but further efforts are required to meet China's carbon emissions-peaking target in 2030 and Cancun 2 degrees C goal. Short-term changes in carbon emissions resulting from lockdowns and initial fiscal stimuli in "economic rescue" period have minor long-term effects, whereas the transitional direction of future fiscal stimulus exerts more predominant impact on long-term carbon emissions. The efficiency improvement effects are more important than the sectoral structure effects of the fiscal stimulus in achieving greener economic growth.
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[72121002] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71922015] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71773075] ; Shanghai Soft Science Research Program[22692103400] ; Fox International Fellowship at Yale University
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000881481200003
出版者CELL PRESS
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Shanghai Soft Science Research Program ; Fox International Fellowship at Yale University
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/186765]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Shan, Yuli; Meng, Jing; Chen, Shiyi
作者单位1.East China Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Business, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China
2.Fudan Univ, Sch Econ, Shanghai 200433, Peoples R China
3.Yale Univ, Whitney & Betty MacMillan Ctr Inter Natl & Area S, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
4.Zhejiang Univ Finance Econ, Sch Econ, Hangzhou 310018, Peoples R China
5.Zhejiang Univ Finance Econ, Zhejiang Inst Eight Eight Strategies, Hangzhou 310018, Peoples R China
6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Reg Sustainable Dev Modeling, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
7.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
8.Univ Warwick, Warwick Business Sch, Coventry CV4 7AL, W Midlands, England
9.Renmin Univ China, Renmin Business Sch, Beijing 100872, Peoples R China
10.Univ Groningen, Energy & Sustainabil Res Inst tute Groningen, Integrated Res Energy, Environm & Soc IREES, NL-9747 Groningen, Netherlands
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Shao, Shuai,Wang, Chang,Feng, Kuo,et al. How do China's lockdown and post-COVID-19 stimuli impact carbon emissions and economic output? Retrospective estimates and prospective trajectories[J]. ISCIENCE,2022,25(5):20.
APA Shao, Shuai.,Wang, Chang.,Feng, Kuo.,Guo, Yue.,Feng, Fan.,...&Chen, Shiyi.(2022).How do China's lockdown and post-COVID-19 stimuli impact carbon emissions and economic output? Retrospective estimates and prospective trajectories.ISCIENCE,25(5),20.
MLA Shao, Shuai,et al."How do China's lockdown and post-COVID-19 stimuli impact carbon emissions and economic output? Retrospective estimates and prospective trajectories".ISCIENCE 25.5(2022):20.

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来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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