Effects of cryospheric hydrological processes on future flood inundation and the subsequent socioeconomic exposures in Central Asia
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Wang, Ning2,4; Sun, Fubao1,2,3,4; Wang, Hong2; Liu, Wenbin2 |
| 刊名 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2022-12-01 |
| 卷号 | 17期号:12页码:10 |
| 关键词 | cryospheric hydrological process flood simulation flood inundation socioeconomic exposure Central Asia |
| ISSN号 | 1748-9326 |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aca491 |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, Hong(wanghong@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Liu, Wenbin(liuwb@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Floods and their subsequent socioeconomic exposures are increasing in most parts of the world due to global warming. However, less attention is given in the arid Central Asia (CA), in which floods usually occur in data-scarce high-mountainous regions with complex cryospheric hydrological processes (CHP). In this study, an improved hydrologic-hydrodynamic model coupled with a glacier mass balance module was developed to enhance flood simulations in CA. The effects of the CHP on future flood inundation and the subsequent socioeconomic exposures were also investigated. We found that the simulations of daily streamflow and flood magnitudes improved significantly over the selected hydrological stations after considering the glacier mass balance. Our estimations indicated that the flood inundation and its dynamic evolution generally agreed with satellite observations. Moreover, CHP-induced (rainfall-induced) flood inundation plays a significant role in China's Xinjiang and Tajikistan (other regions of CA). The CHP would amplify the effects of future flood on socioeconomics in CA, with population (Gross Domestic Productivity, GDP) exposure up to 2.25 million persons/year (150 billion $ PPP/year) for 2071-2100. These findings could provide scientific evidence to improve the understanding of CHP effects on future floods and the subsequent exposures, informing the prioritization and design of flood mitigation strategies in CA. |
| WOS关键词 | GLACIER MELT ; RIVER-BASIN ; RISK |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[42025104] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42022005] ; Third Xinjiang Scientific Expedition[2022xjkk0102] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2019YFA0606903] ; Program for the Kezhen-Bingwei' Youth Talents from the Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences[2020RC004] ; Program for the Kezhen-Bingwei' Youth Talents from the Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences[2021RC002] ; Key Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[ZDRW-ZS-2019-3] ; Top-Notch Young Talents Program of China |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000892891900001 |
| 出版者 | IOP Publishing Ltd |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Third Xinjiang Scientific Expedition ; National Key Research and Development Program of China ; Program for the Kezhen-Bingwei' Youth Talents from the Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Key Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Top-Notch Young Talents Program of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/187985]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, Hong; Liu, Wenbin |
| 作者单位 | 1.Akesu Natl Stn Observat & Res Oasis Agroecosyst, Akesu, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi, Peoples R China 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Ning,Sun, Fubao,Wang, Hong,et al. Effects of cryospheric hydrological processes on future flood inundation and the subsequent socioeconomic exposures in Central Asia[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2022,17(12):10. |
| APA | Wang, Ning,Sun, Fubao,Wang, Hong,&Liu, Wenbin.(2022).Effects of cryospheric hydrological processes on future flood inundation and the subsequent socioeconomic exposures in Central Asia.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,17(12),10. |
| MLA | Wang, Ning,et al."Effects of cryospheric hydrological processes on future flood inundation and the subsequent socioeconomic exposures in Central Asia".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 17.12(2022):10. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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