Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Guarin, Jose Rafael47,48,49; Martre, Pierre46; Ewert, Frank44,45; Webber, Heidi44,45; Dueri, Sibylle46; Calderini, Daniel43; Reynolds, Matthew42; Molero, Gemma1; Miralles, Daniel41; Garcia, Guillermo41 |
刊名 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
出版日期 | 2022-12-01 |
卷号 | 17期号:12页码:13 |
ISSN号 | 1748-9326 |
关键词 | yield increase radiation use efficiency wheat potential yield crop model ensemble global food security |
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aca77c |
通讯作者 | Guarin, Jose Rafael(j.guarin@columbia.edu) |
英文摘要 | Wheat is the most widely grown food crop, with 761 Mt produced globally in 2020. To meet the expected grain demand by mid-century, wheat breeding strategies must continue to improve upon yield-advancing physiological traits, regardless of climate change impacts. Here, the best performing doubled haploid (DH) crosses with an increased canopy photosynthesis from wheat field experiments in the literature were extrapolated to the global scale with a multi-model ensemble of process-based wheat crop models to estimate global wheat production. The DH field experiments were also used to determine a quantitative relationship between wheat production and solar radiation to estimate genetic yield potential. The multi-model ensemble projected a global annual wheat production of 1050 +/- 145 Mt due to the improved canopy photosynthesis, a 37% increase, without expanding cropping area. Achieving this genetic yield potential would meet the lower estimate of the projected grain demand in 2050, albeit with considerable challenges. |
WOS关键词 | RADIATION-USE EFFICIENCY ; GRAIN NUMBER ; SPRING WHEAT ; FOOD DEMAND ; BIOMASS ACCUMULATION ; SOLAR-RADIATION ; CROP ; POPULATION ; CLIMATE ; PHOTOSYNTHESIS |
资助项目 | International Wheat Yield Partnership (IWYP)[IWYP115] ; International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) ; IWYP, CIMMYT (Mexico) ; Chilean Technical and Scientific Research Council (CONICYT) by FONDECYT Project[1141048] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31761143006] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41571493] ; Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of Czech Republic through SustEs[CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/000797] ; Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC) through Designing Future Wheat[BB/P016855/1] ; Achieving Sustainable Agricultural Systems[NE/N018125/1] |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | IOP Publishing Ltd |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000897839900001 |
资助机构 | International Wheat Yield Partnership (IWYP) ; International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) ; IWYP, CIMMYT (Mexico) ; Chilean Technical and Scientific Research Council (CONICYT) by FONDECYT Project ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of Czech Republic through SustEs ; Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC) through Designing Future Wheat ; Achieving Sustainable Agricultural Systems |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/188474] |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Guarin, Jose Rafael |
作者单位 | 1.KWS, Lille, France 2.Tech Univ Munich, Dept Life Sci Engn, Digital Agr, Freising Weihenstephan, Germany 3.China Agr Univ, Dept Agron & Biotechnol, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.China Agr Univ, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 5.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing, Peoples R China 6.Nanjing Agr Univ, Natl Engn & Technol Ctr Informat Agr,Jiangsu Key, Jiangsu Collaborat Innovat Ctr Modern Crop Prod, Key Lab Crop Syst Anal & Decis Making,Minist Agr, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China 7.Zhejiang Univ, Coll Environm & Resource Sci, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China 8.Univ Kassel, Fac Organ Soil Sci, Dept Soil Sci, Kassel, Germany 9.CSIRO Agr & Food, Canberra, ACT, Australia 10.Wageningen Univ, Water & Food & Water Syst & Global Change Grp, Wageningen, Netherlands |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Guarin, Jose Rafael,Martre, Pierre,Ewert, Frank,et al. Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2022,17(12):13. |
APA | Guarin, Jose Rafael.,Martre, Pierre.,Ewert, Frank.,Webber, Heidi.,Dueri, Sibylle.,...&Asseng, Senthold.(2022).Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,17(12),13. |
MLA | Guarin, Jose Rafael,et al."Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 17.12(2022):13. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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