IMPROVING MULTI-STEP AHEAD TOURISM DEMAND FORECASTING: A STRATEGY-DRIVEN APPROACH
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Sun, Shaolong2; Du, Zongjuan2; Zhang, Chengyuan1; Wang, Shouyang3 |
刊名 | EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS |
出版日期 | 2022-12-30 |
卷号 | 210页码:34 |
ISSN号 | 0957-4174 |
关键词 | Tourism demand forecasting Multi-step ahead strategies MIMO DIRMO Extreme learning machine |
DOI | 10.1016/j.eswa.2022.118465 |
英文摘要 | Previous researches have proposed five strategies to deal with complex multi-step ahead forecasting tasks. However, these strategies have not received much attention in the field of tourism research and the performance of them is still unknown. Accordingly, we summarize the strategies used in multi-step ahead tourism demand forecasting articles and produce a comparative analysis of five strategies. By employing nine tourist arrival time series in Hong Kong, the study explores the performance of different strategy-driven forecasting approaches in tourism demand. The empirical results show that Direct and DIRMO (s=2) strategies perform better than other strategies in terms of forecasting accuracy, but there is no significant difference between them, excepting the latter is lower than the former in computational complexity. |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities ; [72101197] ; [71988101] ; [SK2021007] |
WOS研究方向 | Computer Science ; Engineering ; Operations Research & Management Science |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000880668000011 |
源URL | [http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/60628] |
专题 | 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 |
通讯作者 | Sun, Shaolong |
作者单位 | 1.Xidian Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Xian 710126, Peoples R China 2.Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Management, Xian 710049, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sun, Shaolong,Du, Zongjuan,Zhang, Chengyuan,et al. IMPROVING MULTI-STEP AHEAD TOURISM DEMAND FORECASTING: A STRATEGY-DRIVEN APPROACH[J]. EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS,2022,210:34. |
APA | Sun, Shaolong,Du, Zongjuan,Zhang, Chengyuan,&Wang, Shouyang.(2022).IMPROVING MULTI-STEP AHEAD TOURISM DEMAND FORECASTING: A STRATEGY-DRIVEN APPROACH.EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS,210,34. |
MLA | Sun, Shaolong,et al."IMPROVING MULTI-STEP AHEAD TOURISM DEMAND FORECASTING: A STRATEGY-DRIVEN APPROACH".EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS 210(2022):34. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:数学与系统科学研究院
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