Implementation of an early warning for snowfall-triggered avalanche to road safety in the Tianshan Mountains
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Hao, Jiansheng2,3; Mind'je, Richard2; Zhang, Xueqin3; Wang, Yan3; Zhou, Hao4; Li, Lanhai1,2,5,6 |
刊名 | COLD REGIONS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
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出版日期 | 2022-12-01 |
卷号 | 204页码:9 |
关键词 | Snowfall-triggered avalanche Snowpack stability Regional avalanche release index Regional avalanche warning |
ISSN号 | 0165-232X |
DOI | 10.1016/j.coldregions.2022.103675 |
通讯作者 | Li, Lanhai(lilh@ms.xjb.ac.cn) |
英文摘要 | Avalanches are very active and are seriously threatening road safety in the Tianshan mountains. The snowfalltriggered avalanches have caused many serious casualties and paralyzed the transport system. A warning system of snowfall-triggered avalanches can improve the level of road management and reduce avalanche risk. However, an applicable warning model for snowfall-triggered avalanches has still not been developed for the Tianshan Mountains. This study developed a snowfall-triggered avalanche warning model (SFAW), which was tested on the 218 National Highway located in the central Tianshan Mountains - an area that was seriously affected by avalanches. Snowpack, terrain, and meteorology data were collected at the sites during the winter period from 2011 to 2019 and applied to parameterize the SFAW. The SFAW calculated the probability of regional avalanche release driven by snowfall and snow depth from automatic observation, and the simulated results were compared with the observed avalanche data. The results showed that SFAW had an overall accuracy of 80.5%, the probabilities of detection for the regional avalanche events (POD) of 75.0%, and the false alarm ratio of avalanche events (FAR) of 52.0%. SFAW can serve as an important reference for snowfall-triggered avalanche warning, help to protect local transportation, and reduce the damage caused by avalanches in the Tianshan Mountains. |
WOS关键词 | MARITIME CLIMATE ; SLOPE STABILITY ; SCENARIOS ; FORECAST ; FRACTURE ; MODELS ; LAYER ; TOOL |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[42101080] ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP)[2019QZKK0903] ; Sichuan Science and Technology Program[2021YFH0009] ; Tianshan Station for Snowcover and Avalanche Research |
WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Geology |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000910980600001 |
出版者 | ELSEVIER |
资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP) ; Sichuan Science and Technology Program ; Tianshan Station for Snowcover and Avalanche Research |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/189172] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Li, Lanhai |
作者单位 | 1.Xinjiang Key Lab Water Cycle & Utilizat Arid Zone, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.Transport Dept Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Reg, Urumqi 830000, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Ili Stn Watershed Ecosyst Res, Xinyuan 835800, Peoples R China 6.CAS Res Ctr Ecol & Environm Cent Asia, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hao, Jiansheng,Mind'je, Richard,Zhang, Xueqin,et al. Implementation of an early warning for snowfall-triggered avalanche to road safety in the Tianshan Mountains[J]. COLD REGIONS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2022,204:9. |
APA | Hao, Jiansheng,Mind'je, Richard,Zhang, Xueqin,Wang, Yan,Zhou, Hao,&Li, Lanhai.(2022).Implementation of an early warning for snowfall-triggered avalanche to road safety in the Tianshan Mountains.COLD REGIONS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,204,9. |
MLA | Hao, Jiansheng,et al."Implementation of an early warning for snowfall-triggered avalanche to road safety in the Tianshan Mountains".COLD REGIONS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY 204(2022):9. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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