中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Implementation of an early warning for snowfall-triggered avalanche to road safety in the Tianshan Mountains

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Hao, Jiansheng2,3; Mind'je, Richard2; Zhang, Xueqin3; Wang, Yan3; Zhou, Hao4; Li, Lanhai1,2,5,6
刊名COLD REGIONS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
出版日期2022-12-01
卷号204页码:9
关键词Snowfall-triggered avalanche Snowpack stability Regional avalanche release index Regional avalanche warning
ISSN号0165-232X
DOI10.1016/j.coldregions.2022.103675
通讯作者Li, Lanhai(lilh@ms.xjb.ac.cn)
英文摘要Avalanches are very active and are seriously threatening road safety in the Tianshan mountains. The snowfalltriggered avalanches have caused many serious casualties and paralyzed the transport system. A warning system of snowfall-triggered avalanches can improve the level of road management and reduce avalanche risk. However, an applicable warning model for snowfall-triggered avalanches has still not been developed for the Tianshan Mountains. This study developed a snowfall-triggered avalanche warning model (SFAW), which was tested on the 218 National Highway located in the central Tianshan Mountains - an area that was seriously affected by avalanches. Snowpack, terrain, and meteorology data were collected at the sites during the winter period from 2011 to 2019 and applied to parameterize the SFAW. The SFAW calculated the probability of regional avalanche release driven by snowfall and snow depth from automatic observation, and the simulated results were compared with the observed avalanche data. The results showed that SFAW had an overall accuracy of 80.5%, the probabilities of detection for the regional avalanche events (POD) of 75.0%, and the false alarm ratio of avalanche events (FAR) of 52.0%. SFAW can serve as an important reference for snowfall-triggered avalanche warning, help to protect local transportation, and reduce the damage caused by avalanches in the Tianshan Mountains.
WOS关键词MARITIME CLIMATE ; SLOPE STABILITY ; SCENARIOS ; FORECAST ; FRACTURE ; MODELS ; LAYER ; TOOL
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[42101080] ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP)[2019QZKK0903] ; Sichuan Science and Technology Program[2021YFH0009] ; Tianshan Station for Snowcover and Avalanche Research
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Geology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000910980600001
出版者ELSEVIER
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP) ; Sichuan Science and Technology Program ; Tianshan Station for Snowcover and Avalanche Research
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/189172]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Li, Lanhai
作者单位1.Xinjiang Key Lab Water Cycle & Utilizat Arid Zone, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.Transport Dept Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Reg, Urumqi 830000, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Ili Stn Watershed Ecosyst Res, Xinyuan 835800, Peoples R China
6.CAS Res Ctr Ecol & Environm Cent Asia, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Hao, Jiansheng,Mind'je, Richard,Zhang, Xueqin,et al. Implementation of an early warning for snowfall-triggered avalanche to road safety in the Tianshan Mountains[J]. COLD REGIONS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2022,204:9.
APA Hao, Jiansheng,Mind'je, Richard,Zhang, Xueqin,Wang, Yan,Zhou, Hao,&Li, Lanhai.(2022).Implementation of an early warning for snowfall-triggered avalanche to road safety in the Tianshan Mountains.COLD REGIONS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,204,9.
MLA Hao, Jiansheng,et al."Implementation of an early warning for snowfall-triggered avalanche to road safety in the Tianshan Mountains".COLD REGIONS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY 204(2022):9.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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