How Will the Global Food Landscape Accommodate Developing Countries' Dietary Change under Urbanization?
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhang, Yali1,3; Li, Saiya1,3; Jin, Lu2; Wu, Feng1,3 |
| 刊名 | FOODS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2022-11-01 |
| 卷号 | 11期号:22页码:11 |
| 关键词 | diet urbanization food landscape developing countries GTAP |
| DOI | 10.3390/foods11223598 |
| 通讯作者 | Wu, Feng(wufeng@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | There has been a growing awareness of the dietary shift from traditional staples to animal-derived foods during the urbanization of developing countries. Less discussed is how the global food landscape will accommodate such changes in diet. Our study aims to use the GTAP (Global Trade Analysis Project) model to predict the future food landscape based on the dietary shift in developing countries, represented by China, India, Bangladesh, and Myanmar, under a 2030 urbanization scenario. The results show that the average global outputs of fish, meat, and dairy products increase by 0.26-2.85%, along with an expansion in their trade volume by 2.10-13.95%, by 2030. To ensure that dietary changes can be met in developing countries, Asia and America need to strengthen their positions with respect to global food production share, while Africa is developing to become a non-negligible growing force. Accordingly, globalized food trade is characterized by a centralized export and, conversely, by a decentralized import, clearly indicating an expanding net-import tendency in populous developing countries. These findings highlight the adaptation scheme of global food production and trade patterns under a 2030 urbanization scenario, as urbanization accelerates dietary change in developing countries. |
| WOS关键词 | LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SECURITY ; DETERMINANTS ; AGRICULTURE ; IMPACTS ; TRENDS |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[31861143015] |
| WOS研究方向 | Food Science & Technology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000887368000001 |
| 出版者 | MDPI |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/187238]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Wu, Feng |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Renmin Univ China, Sch Appl Econ, Beijing 100872, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Yali,Li, Saiya,Jin, Lu,et al. How Will the Global Food Landscape Accommodate Developing Countries' Dietary Change under Urbanization?[J]. FOODS,2022,11(22):11. |
| APA | Zhang, Yali,Li, Saiya,Jin, Lu,&Wu, Feng.(2022).How Will the Global Food Landscape Accommodate Developing Countries' Dietary Change under Urbanization?.FOODS,11(22),11. |
| MLA | Zhang, Yali,et al."How Will the Global Food Landscape Accommodate Developing Countries' Dietary Change under Urbanization?".FOODS 11.22(2022):11. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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