中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Exploring the direct and indirect impacts of climate variability on armed conflict in South Asia

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Xie, Xiaolan2,3; Hao, Mengmeng2,3; Ding, Fangyu2,3; Helman, David5,6; Scheffran, Jurgen1; Wang, Qian7; Ge, Quansheng2; Jiang, Dong2,3,4
刊名ISCIENCE
出版日期2022-11-18
卷号25期号:11页码:13
DOI10.1016/j.isci.2022.105258
通讯作者Ding, Fangyu(dingfy@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Ge, Quansheng(geqs@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Jiang, Dong(jiangd@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要Although numerous studies have examined the effects of climate variability on armed conflict, the complexity of these linkages requires deeper understanding to assess the causes and effects. Here, we assembled an extensive database of armed conflict, climate, and non-climate data for South Asia. We used structural equation modeling to quantify both the direct and indirect impacts of climate variability on armed conflict. We found that precipitation impacts armed conflict via direct and indirect effects which are contradictory in sign. Temperature affects armed conflict only through a direct path, while indirect effects were insignificant. Yet, an in-depth analysis of indirect effects showed that the net impact is weak due to two strong contradictory effects offsetting each other. Our findings illustrate the complex link between climate variability and armed conflict, highlighting the importance of a detailed analysis of South Asia's underlying mechanisms at the regional scale.
WOS关键词ECONOMIC-GROWTH ; CIVIL-WAR ; VIOLENCE ; RISK ; TEMPERATURE ; AGGRESSION ; ADAPTATION ; ETHNICITY ; AFRICA ; TRENDS
资助项目Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19040305] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42001238] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42201497] ; Wellcome Trust[220211] ; German Research Foundation (DFG)
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
语种英语
出版者CELL PRESS
WOS记录号WOS:000893191200004
资助机构Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Wellcome Trust ; German Research Foundation (DFG)
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/188220]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Ding, Fangyu; Ge, Quansheng; Jiang, Dong
作者单位1.Univ Hamburg, Inst Geog, Ctr Earth Syst Res & Sustainabil, D-20144 Hamburg, Germany
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
4.Minist Land & Resources, Key Lab Carrying Capac Assessment Resource & Envir, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
5.Hebrew Univ Jerusalem, Inst Environm Sci Soil & Water, Robert H Smith Fac Agr Food & Environm, IL-7610001 Rehovot, Israel
6.Hebrew Univ Jerusalem, Adv Sch Environm Studies, IL-91905 Jerusalem, Israel
7.Univ Oxford, Ctr Trop Med, Nuffield Dept Clin Med, Oxford OX13QR, England
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Xie, Xiaolan,Hao, Mengmeng,Ding, Fangyu,et al. Exploring the direct and indirect impacts of climate variability on armed conflict in South Asia[J]. ISCIENCE,2022,25(11):13.
APA Xie, Xiaolan.,Hao, Mengmeng.,Ding, Fangyu.,Helman, David.,Scheffran, Jurgen.,...&Jiang, Dong.(2022).Exploring the direct and indirect impacts of climate variability on armed conflict in South Asia.ISCIENCE,25(11),13.
MLA Xie, Xiaolan,et al."Exploring the direct and indirect impacts of climate variability on armed conflict in South Asia".ISCIENCE 25.11(2022):13.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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