How does urbanization affect energy carbon emissions under the background of carbon neutrality?
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Guo, Xiaomin1,2; Fang, Chuanglin1,2 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
 |
| 出版日期 | 2023-02-01 |
| 卷号 | 327页码:10 |
| ISSN号 | 0301-4797 |
| 关键词 | Carbon neutrality Energy carbon emissions Dynamic relationship Urbanization Transition stage identification |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.116878 |
| 通讯作者 | Fang, Chuanglin(fangcl@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Global climate change caused by increasing carbon emissions has raised great concern. Urbanization is regarded as one of the main sources of carbon emissions. Studying the effect of urbanization process on carbon emissions is of great significance to realize sustainable development under the background of carbon neutrality. Based on the provincial panel data of China from 1997 to 2019, this study investigates the dynamic relationship, driving mechanism, and trend prediction between urbanization and energy carbon emissions (ECEs) using the sliding Ttest, kernel density estimation (KDE), quantile regression (QR) model, and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. This study found that there is a continuous increase in time series and three transitions occurred in 2003, 2006, and 2009, which are in line with the transition stage of China's social and economic development. The overall urbanization rates in 1997-2019 exhibited an increasing trend temporally, and a spatial trend of "high in the north and low in the south" and "high in the east and low in the west". ECEs showed an obvious spatial distribution pattern of "high in the southeast and low in the northwest". Areas with high annual increments were mainly concentrated in the northern areas of Inner Mongolia, Shanxi, and Shandong, with annual increments of 39.35 x 104 t, 66.78 x 104 t, 44.54 x 104 t, respectively. Overall, urbanization (U) has an obvious positive influence on ECEs at a 1% significance level, and the influence is more significant in high quantile provincial units relative to low and middle quantile provincial units. Energy Intensity (EI), Energy Structure (ES), and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), all exert a positive influence on ECEs at a 1% significance level. In the next 20 years, ECEs would present an inverted "U" shaped trend and can be expected to peak in 2036 in natural situation, it is necessary to implement low carbon emission reduction measures. The findings can provide a new reference for urban sustainable development in China. |
| WOS关键词 | CO2 EMISSIONS ; DIOXIDE EMISSIONS ; ECONOMIC-GROWTH ; CONSUMPTION ; CHINA ; PEAK ; INDUSTRIALIZATION ; TRADE |
| 资助项目 | Innovative Research Group Project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Major Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China ; [42121001] ; [41590840] |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | ACADEMIC PRESS LTD- ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000900213300001 |
| 资助机构 | Innovative Research Group Project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Major Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/188553]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Fang, Chuanglin |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Guo, Xiaomin,Fang, Chuanglin. How does urbanization affect energy carbon emissions under the background of carbon neutrality?[J]. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,2023,327:10. |
| APA | Guo, Xiaomin,&Fang, Chuanglin.(2023).How does urbanization affect energy carbon emissions under the background of carbon neutrality?.JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,327,10. |
| MLA | Guo, Xiaomin,et al."How does urbanization affect energy carbon emissions under the background of carbon neutrality?".JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 327(2023):10. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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