Adaptive change of land use to nature and society in China?s agro-pastoral ecotone
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Geng, Xin; Hu, Shi; Wang, Xunming; Cai, Diwen; Gong, Yuan |
| 刊名 | LAND USE POLICY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2023-03-01 |
| 卷号 | 126 |
| 关键词 | Land use and cover change (LUCC) Agro-pastoral ecotone Binary logistic regression model Open-scenario Land use policy |
| ISSN号 | 0264-8377 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.landusepol.2023.106554 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Land use and cover change (LUCC), as an adaptation and confrontation of landowners to environmental changes, plays an essential role in supporting multiple goals of sustainable development. However, the driving process and prospects of LUCC remain unclear at the regional scale. Using remote sensing methods, trend analysis, binary logistic regression models and open-scenario-based forecasting, this study explored the spatio-temporal pattern and driving factors of LUCC in the agro-pastoral ecotone of northeast China (APENE) from 2001 to 2018, revealed potential risks in land-use patterns and key issues in current policies, and proposed targeted suggestions. Results showed that over the past two decades, the areas of forest and farmland increased by 67.55 % and by 31.64 % and that of grassland decreased by 14.58 % via the transition from farmland to grassland, grassland to farmland, and grassland to forest in the mode of edge expansion in the APENE, with 60.76 % areas were greening, while 1.04 % browning. The driving force of LUCC varied greatly with space and land use type, and natural factors play dominant roles in LUCC in the APENE. Over 70 % of farmland might be abandoned under the impact of future climate change, and serious conflict between afforestation investment and forest adaptation. The lack of scientific regulation of farmland quality and ecosystem adaptability were major problems in current policies. More positive economic and regulatory policies to benefit farmers and foresters should be adopted to further improve the talent and financial attractiveness of the agricultural production and desertification -combating practices and to fundamentally solve the current dilemma of food security and ecological construction. |
| WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; DRIVING FORCES ; COVER CHANGE ; FOREST ; SYSTEM ; DROUGHT ; DESERTIFICATION ; ABANDONMENT ; DYNAMICS ; PATTERNS |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000925795100001 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER SCI LTD |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/189639]  |
| 专题 | 陆地水循环及地表过程院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Institute of Geographic Sciences & Natural Resources Research, CAS 2.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS 3.Chinese Academy of Sciences |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Geng, Xin,Hu, Shi,Wang, Xunming,et al. Adaptive change of land use to nature and society in China?s agro-pastoral ecotone[J]. LAND USE POLICY,2023,126. |
| APA | Geng, Xin,Hu, Shi,Wang, Xunming,Cai, Diwen,&Gong, Yuan.(2023).Adaptive change of land use to nature and society in China?s agro-pastoral ecotone.LAND USE POLICY,126. |
| MLA | Geng, Xin,et al."Adaptive change of land use to nature and society in China?s agro-pastoral ecotone".LAND USE POLICY 126(2023). |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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