Anthropogenic aerosols dominated the decreased solar radiation in eastern China over the last five decades
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Tang, Zixuan4,5; Tian, Jing5; Zhang, Yongqiang5; Zhang, Xuanze5; Zhang, Junlong3; Ma, Ning5; Li, Xiaojie2; Song, Peilin1 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
 |
| 出版日期 | 2022-12-20 |
| 卷号 | 380页码:10 |
| 关键词 | Surface solar radiation CMIP6 Anthropogenic aerosol forcing Bayesian model averaging Eastern China |
| ISSN号 | 0959-6526 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.135150 |
| 通讯作者 | Tian, Jing(tianj.04b@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Inter-decadal surface solar radiation (SSR) changes are closely related to climate change, such as global or regional warming, glacial melting, hydrological and carbon cycles, anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols etc. Attributing the SSR trends is important for understanding these processes, however, the relative importance of anthropogenic effects and climate variability to the SSR long-term trend remains unclear. Previous attribution studies only considered the effects of aerosols or clouds, and mostly relied on correlation analysis method. Few focused on quantifying their relative contribution. In this study, we attributed the SSR trend during 1961-2014 in eastern China by using 11 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) models with the Bayesian model averaging (BMA) method. Results show that the BMA-based CMIP6 ensemble estimates well captured the decreasing trends of SSR in eastern China. Using CMIP6 factorial simulations, we quantified the relative contributions from three major drivers: anthropogenic aerosols forcing, GHG (greenhouse gases) forcing, and natural forcing. It shows that the anthropogenic aerosols dominated the SSR declining trends with relative contributions of 106.6 +/- 34.6%, followed by GHG forcing (-3.0 +/- 17.6%), natural forcing (-5.2 +/- 14.9%) and their interactions (1.7 +/- 26.2%). This study revealed that the observed long-term "dimming" over eastern China is mostly dominated by anthropogenic aerosols, implying the strong effects of air pollution on the SSR. |
| WOS关键词 | CLIMATE ; VARIABILITY ; IMPACT ; VERSION ; TRENDS |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; CAS Pioneer Talents Program ; CAS Interna- tional Partnership Program ; [42071327] ; [183311KYSB20200015] |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000917221500002 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER SCI LTD |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; CAS Pioneer Talents Program ; CAS Interna- tional Partnership Program |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/189908]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Tian, Jing |
| 作者单位 | 1.Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Elect Sci & Engn, Xian 710049, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Inst Environm & Sustainable Dev Agr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China 3.Shandong Normal Univ, Coll Geog & Environm, Jinan 250358, Peoples R China 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tang, Zixuan,Tian, Jing,Zhang, Yongqiang,et al. Anthropogenic aerosols dominated the decreased solar radiation in eastern China over the last five decades[J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,2022,380:10. |
| APA | Tang, Zixuan.,Tian, Jing.,Zhang, Yongqiang.,Zhang, Xuanze.,Zhang, Junlong.,...&Song, Peilin.(2022).Anthropogenic aerosols dominated the decreased solar radiation in eastern China over the last five decades.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,380,10. |
| MLA | Tang, Zixuan,et al."Anthropogenic aerosols dominated the decreased solar radiation in eastern China over the last five decades".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 380(2022):10. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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