Climate and socio-economic factors drive the spatio-temporal dynamics of HFRS in Northeastern China
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Wang, Yanding14,15; Wei, Xianyu13,14; Xiao, Xuyang1,12; Yin, Wenwu11; He, Junyu9,10; Ren, Zhoupeng7,8; Li, Zhiqiang14,15; Yang, Meitao14,15; Tong, Shilu3,4,5,6,13; Guo, Yuming2 |
刊名 | ONE HEALTH
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出版日期 | 2022-12-01 |
卷号 | 15页码:8 |
关键词 | HFRS Temporal-spatial dynamics Climate Socio-economic factors Northeastern China |
DOI | 10.1016/j.onehlt.2022.100466 |
通讯作者 | Guo, Yuming(yuming.guo@monash.edu) ; Zhang, Wenyi(zwy0419@126.com) ; Wang, Yong(ywang7508@sina.com) |
英文摘要 | Background: Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) occurs widely in Northeastern China, but the mechanism and interactions of meteorological and socio-economic factors on the transmission of HFRS are still largely unknown. Objective: We explored the effects of socioeconomic-environmental factors on the spatio-temporal variation of HFRS incidence from 2001 to 2019 in Northeastern China. Specifically, the relative importance and contribution rates (CR) of determinants of HFRS were identified by boosted regression tree and variance partitioning analysis, respectively. Structural equation models (SEMs) were used to explain the roles of climatic and socio-economic factors in the transmission of HFRS. And a negative binomial regression was used to identify the risk effect between monthly meteorological variables and HFRS with 0-6 months lags in Northeastern China. Results: Over the past decades, the high-risk areas of HFRS were mainly concentrated in the northern and eastern areas of Northeastern China. Additionally, HFRS mainly presented a decreasing trend from 2001 to 2019 in most areas of Northeastern China, but slightly increased in the cities of Daqing, Songyuan, Baicheng, and Tonghua. The temporal dynamics of the incidence of HFRS were primarily explained by the variations in population density (CR = 27.30%), climate (CR = 13.30%), and economic condition(CR = 1.90%). The spatial variations of HFRS were medicated by the climate (CR = 16.95%) and population density (CR = 9.45%) and medical health care (CR = 2.25%). The SEM models indicated that humid and warm climates were conducive to the incidence and increase of HFRS, but the improvement in education and an increase in population density reduced the transmission of HFRS. Conclusion: Climate and population density appeared to mediate the spatio-temporal variation of HFRS in Northeastern China. These findings may provide valuable empirical evidence for the management of HFRS in endemic areas. |
WOS关键词 | HEMORRHAGIC-FEVER ; RENAL SYNDROME ; INFECTIOUS-DISEASES ; TRANSMISSION ; PROVINCE |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[12031010] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42171398] ; Special Grant for the Prevention and Control of Infectious Diseases[2018ZX10713003] ; 13th Five-Year Plan[17SAZ01] ; 13th Five-Year Plan[18QNP063] |
WOS研究方向 | Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Infectious Diseases |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000913197200006 |
出版者 | ELSEVIER |
资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Special Grant for the Prevention and Control of Infectious Diseases ; 13th Five-Year Plan |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/190075] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Guo, Yuming; Zhang, Wenyi; Wang, Yong |
作者单位 | 1.Sichuan Univ, West China Sch Publ Hlth, Chengdu, Peoples R China 2.Monash Univ, Sch Publ Hlth & Prevent Med, Melbourne, Vic, Australia 3.Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Publ Hlth & Social Work, Brisbane, Qld, Australia 4.Nanjing Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Ctr Global Hlth, Nanjing, Peoples R China 5.Anhui Med Univ, Inst Environm & Populat Hlth, Sch Publ Hlth, Hefei, Peoples R China 6.Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Med, Shanghai Childrens Med Ctr, Shanghai, Peoples R China 7.Sichuan Univ, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Chengdu, Peoples R China 8.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China 9.Zhejiang Univ, Ocean Acad, Zhoushan, Peoples R China 10.Zhejiang Univ, Ocean Coll, Zhoushan, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Yanding,Wei, Xianyu,Xiao, Xuyang,et al. Climate and socio-economic factors drive the spatio-temporal dynamics of HFRS in Northeastern China[J]. ONE HEALTH,2022,15:8. |
APA | Wang, Yanding.,Wei, Xianyu.,Xiao, Xuyang.,Yin, Wenwu.,He, Junyu.,...&Wang, Yong.(2022).Climate and socio-economic factors drive the spatio-temporal dynamics of HFRS in Northeastern China.ONE HEALTH,15,8. |
MLA | Wang, Yanding,et al."Climate and socio-economic factors drive the spatio-temporal dynamics of HFRS in Northeastern China".ONE HEALTH 15(2022):8. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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