Multi-centennial Holocene climate variability in proxy records and transient model simulations
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Askjaer, Thomas Gravgaard1,2; Zhang, Qiong1,2; Schenk, Frederik2,3,4; Ljungqvist, Fredrik Charpentier2,5,6; Lu, Zhengyao7; Brierley, Chris M.8; Hopcroft, Peter O.9; Jungclaus, Johann10; Shi, Xiaoxu11; Lohmann, Gerrit11 |
| 刊名 | QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2022-11-15 |
| 卷号 | 296页码:20 |
| 关键词 | Multi-centennial climate variability Paleoclimate proxy records Holocene transient simulations Spectral analysis Model-proxy comparison |
| ISSN号 | 0277-3791 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107801 |
| 英文摘要 | Variability on centennial to multi-centennial timescales is mentioned as a feature in reconstructions of the Holocene climate. As more long transient model simulations with complex climate models become available and efforts have been made to compile large proxy databases, there is now a unique oppor-tunity to study multi-centennial variability with greater detail and a large amount of data than earlier. This paper presents a spectral analysis of transient Holocene simulations from 9 models and 120 proxy records to find the common signals related to oscillation periods and geographic dependencies and discuss the implications for the potential driving mechanisms. Multi-centennial variability is significant in most proxy records, with the dominant oscillation periods around 120-130 years and an average of 240 years. Spectra of model-based global mean temperature (GMT) agree well with proxy evidence with significant multi-centennial variability in all simulations with the dominant oscillation periods around 120-150 years. It indicates a comparatively good agreement between model and proxy data. A lack of latitudinal dependencies in terms of oscillation period is found in both the model and proxy data. However, all model simulations have the highest spectral density distributed over the Northern hemi-sphere high latitudes, which could indicate a particular variability sensitivity or potential driving mechanisms in this region. Five models also have differentiated forcings simulations with various combinations of forcing agents. Significant multi-centennial variability with oscillation periods between 100 and 200 years is found in all forcing scenarios, including those with only orbital forcing. The different forcings induce some variability in the system. Yet, none appear to be the predominant driver based on the spectral analysis. Solar irradiance has long been hypothesized to be a primary driver of multi -centennial variability. However, all the simulations without this forcing have shown significant multi -centennial variability. The results then indicate that internal mechanisms operate on multi-centennial timescales, and the North Atlantic-Arctic is a region of interest for this aspect.(c) 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
| WOS关键词 | SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; CANADIAN ARCTIC ARCHIPELAGO ; ATMOSPHERIC CO2 RISE ; EARTH SYSTEM MODEL ; HIGH-RESOLUTION ; NORTH-ATLANTIC ; ICE-CORE ; PALEOCLIMATE RECORDS ; ENVIRONMENTAL-CHANGE ; SOUTHERN-HEMISPHERE |
| 资助项目 | Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsradet)[2017-04232] ; Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsradet)[2018-01272] ; Swedish Research Council for Sustainable Development[2020-01000] ; Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study through Riksbankens Jubileumsfond - NSF of China[42230403] ; Swedish Research Council[2018e05973] ; Fond de la Recherche Scientifique de Belgique (F.R.S.-FNRS)[2.5020.11] |
| WOS研究方向 | Physical Geography ; Geology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000876497100006 |
| 出版者 | PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD |
| 资助机构 | Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsradet) ; Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsradet) ; Swedish Research Council for Sustainable Development ; Swedish Research Council for Sustainable Development ; Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study through Riksbankens Jubileumsfond - NSF of China ; Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study through Riksbankens Jubileumsfond - NSF of China ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish Research Council ; Fond de la Recherche Scientifique de Belgique (F.R.S.-FNRS) ; Fond de la Recherche Scientifique de Belgique (F.R.S.-FNRS) ; Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsradet) ; Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsradet) ; Swedish Research Council for Sustainable Development ; Swedish Research Council for Sustainable Development ; Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study through Riksbankens Jubileumsfond - NSF of China ; Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study through Riksbankens Jubileumsfond - NSF of China ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish Research Council ; Fond de la Recherche Scientifique de Belgique (F.R.S.-FNRS) ; Fond de la Recherche Scientifique de Belgique (F.R.S.-FNRS) ; Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsradet) ; Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsradet) ; Swedish Research Council for Sustainable Development ; Swedish Research Council for Sustainable Development ; Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study through Riksbankens Jubileumsfond - NSF of China ; Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study through Riksbankens Jubileumsfond - NSF of China ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish Research Council ; Fond de la Recherche Scientifique de Belgique (F.R.S.-FNRS) ; Fond de la Recherche Scientifique de Belgique (F.R.S.-FNRS) ; Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsradet) ; Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsradet) ; Swedish Research Council for Sustainable Development ; Swedish Research Council for Sustainable Development ; Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study through Riksbankens Jubileumsfond - NSF of China ; Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study through Riksbankens Jubileumsfond - NSF of China ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish Research Council ; Fond de la Recherche Scientifique de Belgique (F.R.S.-FNRS) ; Fond de la Recherche Scientifique de Belgique (F.R.S.-FNRS) |
| 源URL | [http://ir.iggcas.ac.cn/handle/132A11/107735]  |
| 专题 | 地质与地球物理研究所_中国科学院新生代地质与环境重点实验室 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Qiong |
| 作者单位 | 1.Stockholm Univ, Dept Phys Geog, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden 2.Stockholm Univ, Bolin Ctr Climate Res, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden 3.Stockholm Univ, Dept Geol Sci, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden 4.Swedish Meteorol & Hydrol Inst SMHI, S-60176 Norrkoping, Sweden 5.Stockholm Univ, Dept Hist, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden 6.Swedish Coll Adv Study, S-75238 Uppsala, Sweden 7.Lund Univ, Dept Phys Geog & Ecosyst Sci, S-22100 Lund, Sweden 8.UCL, Dept Geog, London WC1E 6BT, England 9.Univ Birmingham, Sch Geog Earth & Environm Sci, Birmingham, England 10.Max Planck Inst Meteorol, Hamburg, Germany |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Askjaer, Thomas Gravgaard,Zhang, Qiong,Schenk, Frederik,et al. Multi-centennial Holocene climate variability in proxy records and transient model simulations[J]. QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS,2022,296:20. |
| APA | Askjaer, Thomas Gravgaard.,Zhang, Qiong.,Schenk, Frederik.,Ljungqvist, Fredrik Charpentier.,Lu, Zhengyao.,...&Yang, Haijun.(2022).Multi-centennial Holocene climate variability in proxy records and transient model simulations.QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS,296,20. |
| MLA | Askjaer, Thomas Gravgaard,et al."Multi-centennial Holocene climate variability in proxy records and transient model simulations".QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS 296(2022):20. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地质与地球物理研究所
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