中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Response of evapotranspiration and water availability to changing climate and land cover on the Mongolian Plateau during the 21st century

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Liu, Yaling; Zhuang, Qianlai7; Chen, Min; Pan, Zhihua8,9; Tchebakova, Nadja10; Sokolov, Andrei11; Kicklighter, David1; Melillo, Jerry1; Sirin, Andrey2; Zhou, Guangsheng6
刊名GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE
出版日期2013
卷号108页码:85-99
关键词Evapotranspiration Mongolian Plateau Terrestrial Ecosystem Model MODIS Climate change Land cover change
ISSN号0921-8181
DOI10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.06.008
文献子类Article
英文摘要Adequate quantification of evapotranspiration (ET) is crucial to assess how climate change and land cover change (LCC) interact with the hydrological cycle of terrestrial ecosystems. The Mongolian Plateau plays a unique role in the global climate system due to its ecological vulnerability, high sensitivity to climate change and disturbances, and limited water resources. Here, we used a version of the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model that has been modified to use Penman-Monteith (PM) based algorithms to calculate ET. Comparison of site-level ET estimates from the modified model with ET measured at eddy covariance (EC) sites showed better agreement than ET estimates from the MODIS ET product, which overestimates ET during the winter months. The modified model was then used to simulate ET during the 21st century under six climate change scenarios by excluding/including climate-induced LCC. We found that regional annual ET varies from 188 to 286 mm yr(-1) across all scenarios, and that it increases between 0.11 mm yr(-2) and 0.55 mm yr(-2) during the 21st century. A spatial gradient of ET that increases from the southwest to the northeast is consistent in all scenarios. Regional ET in grasslands, boreal forests and semi-desert/deserts ranges from 242 to 374 mm yr(-1), 213 to 278 mm yr(-1) and 100 to 199 mm yr(-1), respectively; and the degree of the ET increase follows the order of grassland, semi-desert/desert, and boreal forest. Across the plateau, climate-induced LCC does not lead to a substantial change (<5%) in ET relative to a static land cover, suggesting that climate change is more important than LCC in determining regional ET. Furthermore, the differences between precipitation and ET suggest that the available water for human use (water availability) on the plateau will not change significantly during the 21st century. However, more water is available and less area is threatened by water shortage in the Business-As-Usual emission scenarios relative to level-one stabilization emission scenarios. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
学科主题Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
出版地AMSTERDAM
电子版国际标准刊号1872-6364
WOS关键词LEAF-AREA INDEX ; REFLECTANCE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION ; FARMING-PASTORAL ECOTONE ; NET PRIMARY PRODUCTIVITY ; FOREST-STEPPE ECOTONE ; SPACE-TIME CLIMATE ; INNER-MONGOLIA ; TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS ; STOMATAL CONDUCTANCE ; SURFACE CONDUCTANCE
WOS研究方向Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000323470800007
出版者ELSEVIER
资助机构NASA(National Aeronautics & Space Administration (NASA)) ; Department of Energy(United States Department of Energy (DOE)) ; National Science Foundation(National Science Foundation (NSF)) ; European Space Agency WACMOS-ET project ; NASA(National Aeronautics & Space Administration (NASA)) ; Direct For Computer & Info Scie & Enginr ; Div Of Information & Intelligent Systems(National Science Foundation (NSF)NSF - Directorate for Computer & Information Science & Engineering (CISE)) ; Division Of Environmental Biology ; Direct For Biological Sciences(National Science Foundation (NSF)NSF - Directorate for Biological Sciences (BIO))
源URL[http://ir.ibcas.ac.cn/handle/2S10CLM1/27896]  
专题植被与环境变化国家重点实验室
作者单位1.MIT, Dept Earth Atmospher & Planetary Sci, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
2.Marine Biol Lab, Ctr Ecosyst, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA
3.Miralles, Diego G.] Univ Bristol, Sch Geog Sci, Bristol, Avon, England
4.Univ Toledo, Dept Environm Sci, Toledo, OH 43606 USA
5.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Vegetat & Environm Change, Inst Bot, Beijing 100093, Peoples R China
6.Russian Acad Sci, Inst Forest Sci, Lab Peatland Forestry & Ameliorat, Uspenskoye 143030, Moscow Oblast, Russia
7.Purdue Univ, Dept Earth Atmospher & Planetary Sci, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
8.Purdue Univ, Dept Agron, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
9.China Agr Univ, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Beijing 100193, Peoples R China
10.Minist Agr, Key Ecol & Environm Expt Stn Field Sci Observat H, Inner Mongolia 011705, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Liu, Yaling,Zhuang, Qianlai,Chen, Min,et al. Response of evapotranspiration and water availability to changing climate and land cover on the Mongolian Plateau during the 21st century[J]. GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE,2013,108:85-99.
APA Liu, Yaling.,Zhuang, Qianlai.,Chen, Min.,Pan, Zhihua.,Tchebakova, Nadja.,...&Parfenova, Elena.(2013).Response of evapotranspiration and water availability to changing climate and land cover on the Mongolian Plateau during the 21st century.GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE,108,85-99.
MLA Liu, Yaling,et al."Response of evapotranspiration and water availability to changing climate and land cover on the Mongolian Plateau during the 21st century".GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE 108(2013):85-99.

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来源:植物研究所

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