Assessment and Prediction of Landscape Ecological Risk from Land Use Change in Xinjiang, China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Cheng, Yaqi1; Song, Wei2,3; Yu, Hao2; Wei, Xi2; Sheng, Shuangqing2; Liu, Bo2; Gao, He2; Li, Junfang2; Cao, Congjie2; Yang, Dazhi2 |
| 刊名 | LAND
 |
| 出版日期 | 2023-04-01 |
| 卷号 | 12期号:4页码:895 |
| 关键词 | landscape ecological risk land use change PLUS model scenario simulation Xinjiang |
| DOI | 10.3390/land12040895 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Land use change has significant impacts on the regional and global environment; thus, in-depth research on the associated ecological risks is necessary for promoting ecological restoration and sustainable development. Xinjiang, China, is characterized by a fragile ecological environment, and this study aimed to predict the land use change in the region in 2030 under different scenarios, including natural development, ecological conservation, and urban development, by using the PLUS model based on land use data from 2000, 2010, and 2020. Based on the landscape structure of regional ecosystems, we developed a comprehensive ecological risk assessment framework by utilizing a combination of landscape disturbance index, vulnerability index, and loss index. This framework allowed us to evaluate the spatiotemporal patterns and variations of landscape ecological risks under different scenarios in 2030. The study results indicate the following: (1) During the period from 2000 to 2020, the primary landscape type in Xinjiang was unused land. However, significant changes were observed in the area of cultivated land, mainly due to the conversion of grassland and construction land. The expansion of construction land during the urbanization process resulted in a decline in ecological landscapes, such as grassland, thereby weakening the ecosystem's stability. (2) Under different simulation scenarios, the urban development scenario primarily led to the conversion of unused land into construction land, which is beneficial for economic development. On the other hand, the ecological conservation scenario resulted in a modest increase in construction land and a transformation of unused land into forest and grassland, which aligns with the principles of sustainable development. (3) Different scenarios in 2030 result in varying degrees of changes in each landscape type in Xinjiang, with the spatial distribution characteristics of landscape ecological risks remaining similar to those observed in 2020. Notably, under the urban development scenario, the area of lowest and medium risk areas decreases significantly while the area of higher and highest risk areas increases substantially. Conversely, under the ecological conservation scenario, the area of the lowest risk areas experiences a more significant increase. (4) Overall, the spatial differences in the ecological risk of Xinjiang's landscape are significant, with HH and LL clustering types predominating and presenting a polarization pattern. The distribution pattern is low in the north and high in the central and southern parts of the study area. |
| 学科主题 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| WOS关键词 | PATTERN CHANGES ; WUHAN CITY |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | MDPI |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/193494]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 2.Nat Resources Bur Xinjiang Prod & Construct Corps, Urumqi 830000, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.Hebei Collaborat Innovat Ctr Urban Rural Integrat, Shijiazhuang 050061, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Cheng, Yaqi,Song, Wei,Yu, Hao,et al. Assessment and Prediction of Landscape Ecological Risk from Land Use Change in Xinjiang, China[J]. LAND,2023,12(4):895. |
| APA | Cheng, Yaqi.,Song, Wei.,Yu, Hao.,Wei, Xi.,Sheng, Shuangqing.,...&Yang, Dazhi.(2023).Assessment and Prediction of Landscape Ecological Risk from Land Use Change in Xinjiang, China.LAND,12(4),895. |
| MLA | Cheng, Yaqi,et al."Assessment and Prediction of Landscape Ecological Risk from Land Use Change in Xinjiang, China".LAND 12.4(2023):895. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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