Coupled MOP and PLUS-SA Model Research on Land Use Scenario Simulations in Zhengzhou Metropolitan Area, Central China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Guo, Pengfei; Wang, Haiying; Qin, Fen; Miao, Changhong; Zhang, Fangfang |
| 刊名 | REMOTE SENSING
 |
| 出版日期 | 2023-08-01 |
| 卷号 | 15期号:15页码:3762 |
| ISSN号 | 2072-4292 |
| 关键词 | land use change urban expansion PLUS-SA model scenario simulation Zhengzhou city |
| DOI | 10.3390/rs15153762 |
| 产权排序 | 2 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Land use simulations are critical in predicting the impact of land use change (LUC) on the Earth. Various assumptions and policies influence land use structure and are a key factor in decisions made by policymakers. Meanwhile, the spatial autocorrelation effect between land use types has rarely been considered in existing land use spatial simulation models, and the simulation accuracy needs to be further improved. Thus, in this study, the driving mechanisms of LUC are analyzed. The quantity demand and spatial distribution of land use are predicted under natural development (ND), economic development (ED), ecological protection (EP), and sustainability development (SD) scenarios in Zhengzhou based on the coupled Multi-Objective Programming (MOP) model and the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation model (PLUS) considering Spatial Autocorrelation (PLUS-SA). We conclude the following. (1) The land use type in Zhengzhou was mainly cultivated land, and 83.85% of the land for urban expansion was cultivated land from 2000 to 2020. The reduction in forest from 2010 to 2020 was less than that from 2000 to 2010 due to the implementation of the policy in which farmland is transformed back into forests. (2) The accuracy of PLUS-SA was better than that of the traditional PLUS and Future Land Use Simulation (FLUS) models, and its Kappa coefficient, overall accuracy, and FOM were 0.91, 0.95, and 0.29, respectively. (3) Natural factors (temperature, precipitation, and DEM) contributed significantly to the expansion of cultivated land, and the increase in forest, grass, and construction land was greatly affected by socioeconomic factors (population, GDP, and proximity to town). (4) The land use structure will be more in line with the current requirements for sustainable urban development in the SD scenario, and the economic and ecological benefits will increase by 0.75 x 104 billion CNY and 1.71 billion CNY, respectively, in 2035 compared with those in 2020. The PLUS-SA model we proposed had higher simulation accuracy in Zhengzhou Compared with the traditional PLUS and FLUS models, and our research framework can provide a basis for decision-makers to formulate sustainable land use development policies to achieve high-quality and sustainable urban development. |
| WOS关键词 | FORE-SCE MODEL ; COVER CHANGE ; CELLULAR-AUTOMATON ; URBAN SPRAWL ; PATTERN ; TELECONNECTIONS ; URBANIZATION ; MANAGEMENT ; DYNAMICS ; DRIVERS |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Remote Sensing ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | MDPI |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001045630700001 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/194532]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Academy of Sciences 2.Henan University 3.Institute of Geographic Sciences & Natural Resources Research, CAS 4.Henan University of Economics & Law |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Guo, Pengfei,Wang, Haiying,Qin, Fen,et al. Coupled MOP and PLUS-SA Model Research on Land Use Scenario Simulations in Zhengzhou Metropolitan Area, Central China[J]. REMOTE SENSING,2023,15(15):3762. |
| APA | Guo, Pengfei,Wang, Haiying,Qin, Fen,Miao, Changhong,&Zhang, Fangfang.(2023).Coupled MOP and PLUS-SA Model Research on Land Use Scenario Simulations in Zhengzhou Metropolitan Area, Central China.REMOTE SENSING,15(15),3762. |
| MLA | Guo, Pengfei,et al."Coupled MOP and PLUS-SA Model Research on Land Use Scenario Simulations in Zhengzhou Metropolitan Area, Central China".REMOTE SENSING 15.15(2023):3762. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。