Future variation of land surface temperature in the Yangtze River Basin based on CMIP6 model
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Liu, Jinlian; Tang, Hanya; Yan, Fengqin; Liu, Shiwei; Tang, Xuguang; Ding, Zhi; Yu, Pujia |
| 刊名 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DIGITAL EARTH
 |
| 出版日期 | 2023-12-31 |
| 卷号 | 16期号:1页码:2776-2796 |
| 关键词 | Temporal and spatial changes Delta downscaling Random forest Global warming > |
| ISSN号 | 1753-8947 |
| DOI | 10.1080/17538947.2023.2239777 |
| 产权排序 | 2 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | In recent years, past changes in global and regional land surface temperatures (LST) have been well studied, however, future LST changes have been largely ignored owing to data limitations. In this study, three climate variables of CMIP6, namely air temperature (AT), precipitation (Pre), and leaf area index (LAI), were spatially corrected using the Delta downscaling method. On this basis, by combining MODIS LST, elevation, slope and aspect, a random forest (RF) model was built to calculate the LST from 2022 to 2100. The absolute variability (AV) and Mann-Kendall (M-K) tests were used to quantitatively detect interannual and seasonal LST changes in different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios. The results showed that the AV value increased successively from SSP1-2.6 to SSP2-4.5 and then to SSP5-8.5. Compared with the base period (2003-2021), the increment in interannual, spring, summer and autumn LST during 2022-2100 was mainly between 1 and 2 & DEG;C under three scenarios. The interannual and seasonal LST were spatially characterized by significant warming over large areas, and the increasing was the fastest under SSP5-8.5. These results indicate that, in the future, LST will increase further over large areas, especially in winter. |
| WOS关键词 | TIBETAN PLATEAU ; LOESS PLATEAU ; CHINA ; PRECIPITATION ; PROJECTION ; INDEX |
| WOS研究方向 | Physical Geography ; Remote Sensing |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001033755100001 |
| 出版者 | TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/194492]  |
| 专题 | 资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Southwest University - China 2.Institute of Geographic Sciences & Natural Resources Research, CAS 3.Chinese Academy of Sciences |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Jinlian,Tang, Hanya,Yan, Fengqin,et al. Future variation of land surface temperature in the Yangtze River Basin based on CMIP6 model[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DIGITAL EARTH,2023,16(1):2776-2796. |
| APA | Liu, Jinlian.,Tang, Hanya.,Yan, Fengqin.,Liu, Shiwei.,Tang, Xuguang.,...&Yu, Pujia.(2023).Future variation of land surface temperature in the Yangtze River Basin based on CMIP6 model.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DIGITAL EARTH,16(1),2776-2796. |
| MLA | Liu, Jinlian,et al."Future variation of land surface temperature in the Yangtze River Basin based on CMIP6 model".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DIGITAL EARTH 16.1(2023):2776-2796. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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