中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Global future population exposure to heatwaves

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Wang, Yuwei; Zhao, Na; Yin, Xiaozhe; Wu, Chaoyang; Chen, Mingxing; Jiao, Yimeng; Yue, Tianxiang
刊名ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL
出版日期2023-08-01
卷号178页码:108049
ISSN号0160-4120
关键词Climate change Heatwaves Population exposure Urbanization
DOI10.1016/j.envint.2023.108049
产权排序1
文献子类Article
英文摘要The increasing exposure to extreme heatwaves in urban areas from both climate change and the urban heat island (UHI) effect poses multiple threats and challenges to human society. Despite a growing number of studies focusing on extreme exposure, research advances are still limited in some aspects such as oversimplification of human exposure to heatwaves and neglect of perceived temperature as well as actual body comfort, resulting in unreliable and unrealistic estimates of future results. In addition, little research has performed comprehensive and fine-resolution global analyses in future scenarios. In this study, we present the first global fine-resolution projection of future changing urban population exposure to heatwaves by 2100 under four shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) considering urban expansion at global, regional, and national scales. Overall, global urban population exposure to heatwaves is rising under the four SSPs. Temperate and tropical zones predictably have the greatest exposure among all climate zones. Coastal cities are projected to have the greatest exposure, followed closely by cities at low altitudes. Middle-income countries have the lowest exposure and the lowest inequality of exposure among countries. Individual climate effects contributed the most (approximately 46.4%) to future changes in exposure, followed by the interactive effect between climate and urbanization (approximately 18.5%). Our results indicate that more attention needs to be paid to policy improvements and sustainable development planning of global coastal cities and some low-altitude cities, especially in low- and high-income countries. Meanwhile, this study also highlights the impact of continued future urban expansion on population exposure to heatwaves.
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; HEAT ; WORLD ; TEMPERATURE ; ADAPTATION ; SCENARIOS ; EMISSIONS ; COASTS ; RISKS ; COLD
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
出版者PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
WOS记录号WOS:001034461800001
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/194595]  
专题资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室_外文论文
作者单位1.Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
2.Harvard University
3.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS
4.Institute of Geographic Sciences & Natural Resources Research, CAS
5.Chinese Academy of Sciences
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wang, Yuwei,Zhao, Na,Yin, Xiaozhe,et al. Global future population exposure to heatwaves[J]. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL,2023,178:108049.
APA Wang, Yuwei.,Zhao, Na.,Yin, Xiaozhe.,Wu, Chaoyang.,Chen, Mingxing.,...&Yue, Tianxiang.(2023).Global future population exposure to heatwaves.ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL,178,108049.
MLA Wang, Yuwei,et al."Global future population exposure to heatwaves".ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 178(2023):108049.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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