中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Increasing NH3 Emissions in High Emission Seasons and Its Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics during 1850-2060

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Li, Tong; Wang, Zhaosheng
刊名ATMOSPHERE
出版日期2023-07-01
卷号14期号:7页码:1056
关键词ammonia (NH3) emissions spatial and temporal variability scenario analysis long-term trends
ISSN号2073-4433
DOI10.3390/atmos14071056
产权排序1
文献子类Article
英文摘要Ammonia (NH3) is a crucial alkaline component in the atmosphere, with significant impacts on environmental and ecosystem health. However, our understanding of the long-term variability characteristics of NH3 emissions is still limited due to the scarcity of long-term continuous NH3 emission observation data. In this study, we investigated the global NH3 emission evolution pattern during the high-emission season (March-August) in historical (1850-2014) and future (2015-2060) periods, based on the simulated global NH3 emission and temperature data using the CESM2-WACCM model from CMIP6. We utilized cluster analysis, KNN regression simulation, and transfer matrix analysis to explore the emission characteristics. In the historical period, the analysis revealed that the high NH3 emission season is March-August, accounting for about 60% of annual emissions, with a significant increasing trend of NH3 emissions. The global average NH3 emissions in the last 164 years were about four times higher (28.06 mg m(-2)) than those in 1850 (5.52 mg m(-2)). Moreover, on the intercontinental scale, NH3 emissions from 1850 to 2014 March-August exhibited dynamic increases characterized differently across continents. Europe showed an increasing and then decreasing trend, Asia demonstrated a rapid increase, while South America, North America, and Africa exhibited medium increases, and Australia showed low increases. The global NH3 emissions experienced three distinct periods of low (1850-1964, slope = 0.059 mg m(-2) y(-1)), high (1965-1988, slope = 0.389 mg m(-2) y(-1)), and medium (1989-2014, slope = 0.180 mg m(-2) y(-1)) rates of increase. Starting from the high rate of increase period, the hotspots of global NH3 emissions gradually shifted from Europe to East and South Asia. Looking ahead, our findings suggest that the global NH3 emission rate will tend to slow down under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP8.5 warming scenarios. However, compared with the medium-rate increasing period, the moderate and heavy NH3 emission areas under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios will show a tendency to expand by 2060, with the proportion of area covered by heavy emissions increasing by 0.55% and 0.56%, respectively. In conclusion, our study highlights that NH3 pollution remains a significant environmental challenge in the future period, with Asia and Europe being the key areas requiring attention for NH3 emission reduction.
WOS关键词AMMONIA EMISSIONS ; UNITED-STATES ; NITROGEN DEPOSITION ; REACTIVE NITROGEN ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; RECENT TRENDS ; TRANSFORMATION ; POPULATION ; INVENTORY ; PATHWAYS
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001034943400001
出版者MDPI
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/194583]  
专题生态系统网络观测与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文
作者单位1.China University of Mining & Technology
2.Institute of Geographic Sciences & Natural Resources Research, CAS
3.Chinese Academy of Sciences
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Li, Tong,Wang, Zhaosheng. Increasing NH3 Emissions in High Emission Seasons and Its Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics during 1850-2060[J]. ATMOSPHERE,2023,14(7):1056.
APA Li, Tong,&Wang, Zhaosheng.(2023).Increasing NH3 Emissions in High Emission Seasons and Its Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics during 1850-2060.ATMOSPHERE,14(7),1056.
MLA Li, Tong,et al."Increasing NH3 Emissions in High Emission Seasons and Its Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics during 1850-2060".ATMOSPHERE 14.7(2023):1056.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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