Calculation of landslide occurrence probability in Taiwan region under different ground motion conditions
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Shao Xiao-yi; Xu Chong; Ma Si-yuan; Xu Xi-wei; Shyu, J. Bruce H.; Zhou Qing |
刊名 | JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE
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出版日期 | 2021 |
卷号 | 18期号:4页码:1003-1012 |
关键词 | Real occurrence probability Earthquake induced landslide risk Machine learning Taiwan region |
ISSN号 | 1672-6316 |
英文摘要 | In this study, Bayesian probability method and machine learning model are used to study the real occurrence probability of earthquake-induced landslide risk in Taiwan region. The analyses were based on the 1999 Taiwan Chi-Chi Earthquake, the largest earthquake in the history in this Region in a hundred years, thus can provide better control on the prediction accuracy of the model. This seismic event has detailed and complete seismic landslide inventories identified by polygons, including 9272 seismic landslide records. Taking into account the real earthquake landslide occurrence area, the difference in landslide area and the non-sliding/sliding sample ratios and other factors, a total of 13,656,000 model training samples were selected. We also considered other seismic landslide influencing factors, including elevation, slope, aspect, topographic wetness index, lithology, distance to fault, peak ground acceleration and rainfall. Bayesian probability method and machine learning model were combined to establish the multi-factor influence of earthquake landslide occurrence model. The model is then applied to the whole Taiwan region using different ground motion peak accelerations (from 0.1 g to 1.0 g with 0.1 g intervals) as a triggering factor to complete the real probability of earthquake landslide map in Taiwan under different peak ground accelerations, and the functional relationship between different Peak Ground Acceleration and their predicted area is obtained. |
语种 | 英语 |
源URL | [http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/57321] ![]() |
专题 | Journal of Mountain Science_Journal of Mountain Science-2021_Vol18 No.4 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shao Xiao-yi,Xu Chong,Ma Si-yuan,et al. Calculation of landslide occurrence probability in Taiwan region under different ground motion conditions[J]. JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,2021,18(4):1003-1012. |
APA | Shao Xiao-yi,Xu Chong,Ma Si-yuan,Xu Xi-wei,Shyu, J. Bruce H.,&Zhou Qing.(2021).Calculation of landslide occurrence probability in Taiwan region under different ground motion conditions.JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,18(4),1003-1012. |
MLA | Shao Xiao-yi,et al."Calculation of landslide occurrence probability in Taiwan region under different ground motion conditions".JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE 18.4(2021):1003-1012. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:成都山地灾害与环境研究所
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