Risk Assessment of Debris Flows Along the Karakoram Highway (Kashgar-Khunjerab Section) in the Context of Climate Change
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Li, Yamei3; Zou, Qiang1,4; Hao, Jiansheng2; Su, Lijun1,4,5 |
| 刊名 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK SCIENCE
 |
| 出版日期 | 2023-08-01 |
| 卷号 | 14期号:4页码:586-599 |
| 关键词 | Climate change Debris flows Karakoram highway Risk assessment |
| ISSN号 | 2095-0055 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s13753-023-00501-1 |
| 通讯作者 | Su, Lijun(sulijun1976@163.com) |
| 英文摘要 | The Karakoram highway (KKH) is renowned for its complex natural environment and geological conditions. The climate changes drastically and directly influences the frequency and magnitude of debris flows in this region, resulting in significant casualties and economic losses. However, the risk assessment of debris flows along the KKH in the context of climate change has been rarely explored. Therefore, in this study we used the debris flow data, historical meteorological data and future climate prediction data to assess the debris flow risk of the study region during the baseline period (2009-2018), 2025s (2021-2030), 2035s (2031-2040) and 2045s (2041-2050) under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario. The results show that the risk of debris flows increases with climate change, with the highest risk level in the 2025s. Among different parts of this highway, the upper reaches of the Ghez River and the second half of Tashkorgan-Khunjerab are the sections with the highest risk. These findings are helpful for debris flow prevention and can offer coping strategies for the existing line of the KKH. They also provide some reference for the renovation, improvement, operation, and maintenance of the KKH. |
| WOS关键词 | EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; WESTERN ; IMPACTS ; BASINS ; ALTITUDES ; SLOPES ; NORTH ; RATES ; ASIA |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[2019QZKK0902] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP) ; [42201082] |
| WOS研究方向 | Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001059940500002 |
| 出版者 | SPRINGER |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP) |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/194721]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Su, Lijun |
| 作者单位 | 1.China Pakistan Joint Res Ctr Earth Sci, Islamabad 45320, Pakistan 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, State Key Lab Tibetan Plateau Earth Syst Environm, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Mt Hazards & Earth Surface Proc, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China 5.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Yamei,Zou, Qiang,Hao, Jiansheng,et al. Risk Assessment of Debris Flows Along the Karakoram Highway (Kashgar-Khunjerab Section) in the Context of Climate Change[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK SCIENCE,2023,14(4):586-599. |
| APA | Li, Yamei,Zou, Qiang,Hao, Jiansheng,&Su, Lijun.(2023).Risk Assessment of Debris Flows Along the Karakoram Highway (Kashgar-Khunjerab Section) in the Context of Climate Change.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK SCIENCE,14(4),586-599. |
| MLA | Li, Yamei,et al."Risk Assessment of Debris Flows Along the Karakoram Highway (Kashgar-Khunjerab Section) in the Context of Climate Change".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK SCIENCE 14.4(2023):586-599. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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