An analytical method to evaluate curtailment of hydro-photovoltaic hybrid energy systems and its implication under climate change
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Cheng, Qian1,2,7; Liu, Pan1,2,7; Xia, Qian3; Cheng, Lei1,2,7; Ming, Bo6; Zhang, Wei5; Xu, Weifeng4; Zheng, Yalian1,2,7; Han, Dongyang1,2,7; Xia, Jun7,8 |
刊名 | ENERGY |
出版日期 | 2023-09-01 |
卷号 | 278页码:16 |
ISSN号 | 0360-5442 |
关键词 | Climate change Hydro -PV hybrid Energy systems PV curtailment Optimal operation Renewable energy |
DOI | 10.1016/j.energy.2023.127800 |
通讯作者 | Liu, Pan(liupan@whu.edu.cn) |
英文摘要 | Identifying power curtailment is essential for system reliability, especially in hydro-photovoltaic (PV) hybrid energy systems (HPESs) exposed to future climate variability. However, the relatively low temporal resolution of climate projections challenges the effectiveness of current numerical simulation methods for evaluating the curtailment rate of HPESs. This study derives an analytical method based on daily hydropower and PV power rather than the commonly used hourly data in numerical methods, to reduce reliance on the temporal resolution of climate inputs. A short-term operation model is constructed to verify the effectiveness of the derived power curtailment function. A long-term operation model incorporating the analytical power curtailment function is then established to analyze variations in future curtailment rates using climate information projections. Results of a case study in the Yalong River Basin validate the accuracy of the derived PV curtailment function. Compared with the reference period, future hydropower and PV power will increase in most climate scenarios with substantial variances, whereas the PV curtailment rate exhibits an overall increase in the near future (+2.49%) and a larger increase in the far future (+5.53%). The most noticeable increases in future PV curtailment rates occur in June, July, and October (+3.15%, +5.47%, and +3.11%). The proposed analytical method provides valuable insights for the risk evaluation of HPESs by coupling the short-term power curtailment rate with mid-and long-term climate variations. |
WOS关键词 | UNIT COMMITMENT ; POWER ; PRECIPITATION ; INTEGRATION ; GENERATION ; RESERVOIR |
资助项目 | National Key R&D Program of China[2022YFC3202804] ; National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars of China[52225901] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[52209033] |
WOS研究方向 | Thermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001006092600001 |
资助机构 | National Key R&D Program of China ; National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/194911] |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Liu, Pan |
作者单位 | 1.Wuhan Univ, Hubei Prov Key Lab Water Syst Sci Sponge City Cons, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China 2.Wuhan Univ, Res Inst Water Secur RIWS, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China 3.Hubei Water Resources Res Inst, Hubei Water Resources & Hydropower Sci & Technol P, Wuhan 430070, Peoples R China 4.Changjiang Water Resources Commiss, Bur Hydrol, Wuhan 430010, Peoples R China 5.China Three Gorges Corp, Sci & Technol Res Inst, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China 6.Xian Univ Technol, State Key Lab Eco Hydraul Northwest Arid Reg, Xian 710048, Peoples R China 7.Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn Sc, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China 8.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Cheng, Qian,Liu, Pan,Xia, Qian,et al. An analytical method to evaluate curtailment of hydro-photovoltaic hybrid energy systems and its implication under climate change[J]. ENERGY,2023,278:16. |
APA | Cheng, Qian.,Liu, Pan.,Xia, Qian.,Cheng, Lei.,Ming, Bo.,...&Xia, Jun.(2023).An analytical method to evaluate curtailment of hydro-photovoltaic hybrid energy systems and its implication under climate change.ENERGY,278,16. |
MLA | Cheng, Qian,et al."An analytical method to evaluate curtailment of hydro-photovoltaic hybrid energy systems and its implication under climate change".ENERGY 278(2023):16. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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