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Anthropogenic activities change population heat exposure much more than natural factors and land use change: An analysis of 2020-2100 under SSP-RCP scenarios in Chinese cities

文献类型：期刊论文

作者He, Tong1; Wang, Nan1; Tong, Yindong1; Wu, Feng2; Xu, Xinliang3; Liu, Luo4; Chen, Jiayue1; Lu, Yingshuang1; Sun, Zongyao5; Han, Dongrui6
刊名SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY
出版日期2023-09-01
卷号96页码:11
ISSN号2210-6707
关键词Urban heat environment change Land use cover change Population heat exposure Extreme heat SSP-RCP scenarios Global climate change
DOI10.1016/j.scs.2023.104699
通讯作者He, Tong() ; Qiao, Zhi(qiaozhi@tju.edu.cn)
英文摘要Global climate change, especially warming, has significant implications for human health. There are currently research gaps in the attribution of urban heat environment (UHE) changes and the exploration of heat exposure based on land use types. This study proposed a UHE change attribution algorithm based on land use types, separated contributions of natural factors (NAT), land use change (LUC), and other anthropogenic activities (OANT) in Chinese cities under Shared socioeconomic pathway-Representative concentration pathway (SSPRCP) scenarios over different periods in the 21st century, further evaluated population heat exposure changes of the same three factors during extreme heat (i.e., maximum daily temperatures exceeding 35 degrees C). The average UHE changes were projected to be positive over each future period. Total OANT contribution would be slightly higher than that of NAT in the same period and scenario, while in most cases, contribution intensity of NAT would be greater than that of OANT. Total contribution and intensity of LUC would remain low. Population heat exposure changes of OANT would be 15.46 and 15.21 times higher than those of NAT and LUC, respectively. The outcomes of this study will help guide adaptation and mitigation of UHE changes under future scenarios and reduce negative impacts on human health.
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; COVER CHANGE ; URBANIZATION ; HEALTH ; TEMPERATURES ; IMPACTS
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[52270187] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41971389] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41971233] ; Natural Science Foundation of Tianjin City[21JCYBJC00390] ; National Major Science and Technology Projects of China[05-Y30B01-9001-19/20-4]
WOS研究方向Construction & Building Technology ; Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels
语种英语
出版者ELSEVIER
WOS记录号WOS:001027283000001
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Natural Science Foundation of Tianjin City ; National Major Science and Technology Projects of China
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/195533]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者He, Tong; Qiao, Zhi
作者单位1.Tianjin Univ, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, Tianjin 300350, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.South China Agr Univ, Guangdong Prov Key Lab Land Use & Consolidat, Guangzhou 510642, Peoples R China
5.Tianjin Univ, Sch Architecture, Tianjin 300272, Peoples R China
6.Shandong Acad Agr Sci, Inst Agr Informat & Econ, Jinan 250100, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 He, Tong,Wang, Nan,Tong, Yindong,et al. Anthropogenic activities change population heat exposure much more than natural factors and land use change: An analysis of 2020-2100 under SSP-RCP scenarios in Chinese cities[J]. SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY,2023,96:11.
APA He, Tong.,Wang, Nan.,Tong, Yindong.,Wu, Feng.,Xu, Xinliang.,...&Qiao, Zhi.(2023).Anthropogenic activities change population heat exposure much more than natural factors and land use change: An analysis of 2020-2100 under SSP-RCP scenarios in Chinese cities.SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY,96,11.
MLA He, Tong,et al."Anthropogenic activities change population heat exposure much more than natural factors and land use change: An analysis of 2020-2100 under SSP-RCP scenarios in Chinese cities".SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY 96(2023):11.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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