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Silver lining to a climate crisis in multiple prospects for alleviating crop waterlogging under future climates

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Liu, Ke2,3; Harrison, Matthew Tom2; Yan, Haoliang4; Liu, De Li5,6; Meinke, Holger2; Hoogenboom, Gerrit1; Wang, Bin5; Peng, Bin7,8,9; Guan, Kaiyu7,8,9; Jaegermeyr, Jonas10,11,12
刊名NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
出版日期2023-02-10
卷号14期号:1页码:13
DOI10.1038/s41467-023-36129-4
通讯作者Harrison, Matthew Tom(matthew.harrison@utas.edu.au)
英文摘要Extreme weather events threaten food security, yet global assessments of impacts caused by crop waterlogging are rare. Here we first develop a paradigm that distils common stress patterns across environments, genotypes and climate horizons. Second, we embed improved process-based understanding into a farming systems model to discern changes in global crop waterlogging under future climates. Third, we develop avenues for adapting cropping systems to waterlogging contextualised by environment. We find that yield penalties caused by waterlogging increase from 3-11% historically to 10-20% by 2080, with penalties reflecting a trade-off between the duration of waterlogging and the timing of waterlogging relative to crop stage. We document greater potential for waterlogging-tolerant genotypes in environments with longer temperate growing seasons (e.g., UK, France, Russia, China), compared with environments with higher annualised ratios of evapotranspiration to precipitation (e.g., Australia). Under future climates, altering sowing time and adoption of waterlogging-tolerant genotypes reduces yield penalties by 18%, while earlier sowing of winter genotypes alleviates waterlogging by 8%. We highlight the serendipitous outcome wherein waterlogging stress patterns under present conditions are likely to be similar to those in the future, suggesting that adaptations for future climates could be designed using stress patterns realised today.
WOS关键词GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS ; EXAMINE PHYSIOLOGICAL-CHANGES ; WHOLE-FARM PRODUCTION ; MATHEMATICAL FRAMEWORK ; WINTER-WHEAT ; SYSTEMS ; MODELS ; YIELD ; ADAPTATION ; STRESS
资助项目Grains Research and Development Corporation[UOT1906-002RTX]
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
语种英语
出版者NATURE PORTFOLIO
WOS记录号WOS:001053836600004
资助机构Grains Research and Development Corporation
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/196729]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Harrison, Matthew Tom
作者单位1.Univ Florida, Dept Agr & Biol Engn, IFAS, Gainesville, FL USA
2.Univ Tasmania, Tasmanian Inst Agr, Newnham Dr, Launceston, Tas, Australia
3.Yangtze Univ, Coll Agr, MARA Key Lab Sustainable Crop Prod Middle Reaches, Jingzhou, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Inst Cotton Res, State Key Lab Cotton Biol, Anyang, Peoples R China
5.New South Wales Dept Primary Ind, Wagga Wagga Agr Inst, Wagga Wagga, NSW, Australia
6.Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia
7.Univ Illinois, Inst Sustainabil Energy & Environm, Agroecosyst Sustainabil Ctr, Urbana, IL USA
8.Univ Illinois, Coll Agr Consumer & Environm Sci, Urbana, IL USA
9.Univ Illinois, Natl Ctr Supercomp Applicat, Urbana, IL USA
10.NASA Goddard Inst Space Studies, New York, NY USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Liu, Ke,Harrison, Matthew Tom,Yan, Haoliang,et al. Silver lining to a climate crisis in multiple prospects for alleviating crop waterlogging under future climates[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2023,14(1):13.
APA Liu, Ke.,Harrison, Matthew Tom.,Yan, Haoliang.,Liu, De Li.,Meinke, Holger.,...&Zhou, Meixue.(2023).Silver lining to a climate crisis in multiple prospects for alleviating crop waterlogging under future climates.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,14(1),13.
MLA Liu, Ke,et al."Silver lining to a climate crisis in multiple prospects for alleviating crop waterlogging under future climates".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 14.1(2023):13.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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