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Quantifying future water-saving potential under climate change and groundwater recharge scenarios in Lower Chenab Canal, Indus River Basin

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Shafeeque, Muhammad1,2; Hafeez, Mohsin2; Sarwar, Abid3,4; Arshad, Arfan5; Khurshid, Tahira6; Asim, Muhammad Irfan4; Ali, Shoaib7; Dilawar, Adil8
刊名THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
出版日期2023-09-04
页码18
ISSN号0177-798X
DOI10.1007/s00704-023-04621
通讯作者Shafeeque, Muhammad(shafeequ@uni-bremen.de)
英文摘要Quantifying water-saving potential (WSP) is crucial for sustainable water resource management in canal command areas and river basins. Previous studies have partially or fully ignored the importance of groundwater in WSP assessments, particularly in irrigated areas. This study is aimed at quantifying WSP in the Lower Chenab Canal (LCC) command area of the Indus River Basin, Pakistan, under various scenarios of future climate change and groundwater recharge. These quantifications are conducted using an empirical model based on the Budyko theory. The model was forced using observed, remote sensing, and CMIP6 future climate data for two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP245 and SSP585) and their ensembles (cold-dry, cold-wet, warm-dry, and warm-wet) for possible futures. The results showed that the average WSP in the LCC command area was 466 & PLUSMN; 48 mm/year during the historical period (2001-2020). The WSP is projected to decrease by - 68 & PLUSMN; 3% under the warm-dry ensemble scenario (SSP245 and SSP585) and - 48 & PLUSMN; 13% under the ensembled cold-wet scenario by 2100. The results also demonstrated that WSP could be increased by up to 70 & PLUSMN; 9% by artificially recharging 20% of the abstracted groundwater per year in the LCC command area by the late twenty-first century. Our findings highlight the importance of adopting artificial groundwater recharge to enhance the WSP and sustainably manage water resources in the LCC command area. Policymakers should consider these findings when deciding on water resource management in the Indus River Basin.
WOS关键词IRRIGATION EFFICIENCY ; SWAT MODEL ; BALANCE ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; IMPACT ; ADAPTATION ; SIMULATION ; FRAMEWORK ; SYSTEM
资助项目Projekt DEAL ; CGIAR's Initiative on Water, Energy Food, and Ecosystems (WEFE) NEXUS Gains ; Federal Ministry of Education Germany (BMBF)[03F0885B]
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001058325200004
出版者SPRINGER WIEN
资助机构Projekt DEAL ; CGIAR's Initiative on Water, Energy Food, and Ecosystems (WEFE) NEXUS Gains ; Federal Ministry of Education Germany (BMBF)
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/196917]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Shafeeque, Muhammad
作者单位1.Univ Bremen, Inst Geog, Climate Lab, D-28359 Bremen, Germany
2.Int Water Management Inst IWMI, Lahore 53700, Pakistan
3.Univ Calif Merced UCM, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Merced, CA USA
4.Univ Agr Faisalabad, Dept Irrigat & Drainage, Faisalabad 38040, Pakistan
5.Oklahoma State Univ, Dept Biosyst & Agr Engn, Stillwater, OK USA
6.Hohai Univ, Coll Hydrol & Water Resources, Nanjing 210098, Peoples R China
7.Northeast Agr Univ, Sch Water Conservancy & Civil Engn, Harbin 150030, Heilongjiang, Peoples R China
8.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Shafeeque, Muhammad,Hafeez, Mohsin,Sarwar, Abid,et al. Quantifying future water-saving potential under climate change and groundwater recharge scenarios in Lower Chenab Canal, Indus River Basin[J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,2023:18.
APA Shafeeque, Muhammad.,Hafeez, Mohsin.,Sarwar, Abid.,Arshad, Arfan.,Khurshid, Tahira.,...&Dilawar, Adil.(2023).Quantifying future water-saving potential under climate change and groundwater recharge scenarios in Lower Chenab Canal, Indus River Basin.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,18.
MLA Shafeeque, Muhammad,et al."Quantifying future water-saving potential under climate change and groundwater recharge scenarios in Lower Chenab Canal, Indus River Basin".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY (2023):18.

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来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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