Quantity and spatial imbalance of supply and demand for water yield services in terrestrial ecosystems under different future land use scenarios in Xinjiang, China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Liu, Zhuo5,6; Shi, Mingjie2,5,6; Wu, Hongqi5,6; Jiang, Pingan5,6; Zhang, Haoyu3; He, Panxing4; Zheng, Kai5,6; Dong, Tong1; Zhang, Yue5,6 |
| 刊名 | FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION
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| 出版日期 | 2023-05-05 |
| 卷号 | 11页码:14 |
| ISSN号 | 2296-701X |
| 关键词 | land use land cover change different scenarios terrestrial ecosystem services water yields Xinjiang |
| DOI | 10.3389/fevo.2023.1094409 |
| 通讯作者 | Wu, Hongqi(whq@xjau.edu.cn) ; Jiang, Pingan(xjaudbxb@xjau.edu.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Drylands in northwest China have limited water resources, which negatively impacts economic development, ecological security, and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. However, few studies have examined water supply and demand under multiple future spatial patterns of land use, particularly under sustainable development scenarios. Further research is therefore needed to determine how affect water output services under various land use patterns. We used the GMOP-PLUS (Gray Multi-objective Optimization-Patch-generating Land Use Simulation) and the InVEST (Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs) models to investigate future land use programs and the current and future trends in water yield services supply and demand in the typical dryland region of Xinjiang, China. The GMOP-PLUS model was used to project the spatial patterns of land use/land cover (LULC) change in Xinjiang in 2025 and 2030 under programs of business-as-usual, rapid economic development, ecological land protection and sustainable development. We then used the InVEST model to project the spatiotemporal evolution of water yield services supply and demand under the four different scenarios. Our results show that Our results show that water production in Xinjiang decreases to 911.30 x 10(8) m(3) in 2020-2030 under the business-as-usual scenario, with an expansion in arable land and a reduction in forested land being the main causes of this decrease. The decline in water production under the ecological land protection scenario is 913.88 x 10(8) m(3). The retention effect of vegetation slows the decline in water production, but the ecological land protection scenario is not effective in controlling the reduction in arable land. The rapid economic development scenario produces a significant increase in water yield of 915.09 x 10(8) m(3), mainly due to an increase in the area of impervious surfaces caused by the expansion of built-up land; however, the rapid economic development scenario leads to a decreasing trend in ecological land. The sustainable development scenario produces 914.15 x 10(8) m(3) of water. The sustainable development scenario increases water production while balancing the development of Constructed and the protection of ecological land, and the arable land also shows a slow growth trend. Between 2025 and 2030, the water security index fluctuates between -0.0225 and -0.0400, with a continued future deficit in water supply and demand in Xinjiang and a high degree of spatial heterogeneity. Programs for advancing sustainable development narrow the supply-demand gap for services that produce water. |
| WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; RIVER-BASIN ; RESOURCES ; IMPACTS ; MODEL |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | FRONTIERS MEDIA SA |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000989452700001 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/197513]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Wu, Hongqi; Jiang, Pingan |
| 作者单位 | 1.Minist Nat Resources, Inst Oceanog 1, Key Lab Coastal Sci & Integrated Management, Qingdao, Shandong, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Xinjiang Univ, Coll Geog & Remote Sensing Sci, Urumqi, Peoples R China 4.Henan Normal Univ, Xinxiang, Peoples R China 5.Xinjiang Agr Univ, Coll Resources & Environm, Urumqi, Peoples R China 6.Xinjiang Agr Univ, Xinjiang Key Lab Soil & Plant Ecol Proc, Urumqi, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Zhuo,Shi, Mingjie,Wu, Hongqi,et al. Quantity and spatial imbalance of supply and demand for water yield services in terrestrial ecosystems under different future land use scenarios in Xinjiang, China[J]. FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION,2023,11:14. |
| APA | Liu, Zhuo.,Shi, Mingjie.,Wu, Hongqi.,Jiang, Pingan.,Zhang, Haoyu.,...&Zhang, Yue.(2023).Quantity and spatial imbalance of supply and demand for water yield services in terrestrial ecosystems under different future land use scenarios in Xinjiang, China.FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION,11,14. |
| MLA | Liu, Zhuo,et al."Quantity and spatial imbalance of supply and demand for water yield services in terrestrial ecosystems under different future land use scenarios in Xinjiang, China".FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION 11(2023):14. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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