Combined and delayed impacts of epidemics and extreme weather on urban mobility recovery
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Liu, Haiyan10; Wang, Jianghao8,9; Liu, Jian10; Ge, Yong8,9; Wang, Xiaoli11; Zhang, Chi12; Cleary, Eimear13; Ruktanonchai, Nick W.1; Ruktanonchai, Corrine W.1; Yao, Yongcheng2,13 |
刊名 | SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY |
出版日期 | 2023-12-01 |
卷号 | 99页码:12 |
ISSN号 | 2210-6707 |
关键词 | Compound disasters Mobility recovery Epidemic Extreme weather Nonlinear delayed effects Urban resilience |
DOI | 10.1016/j.scs.2023.104872 |
通讯作者 | Liu, Haiyan(liuhaiyan@sml-zhuhai.cn) ; Bai, Xuemei(xuemei.bai@anu.edu.au) ; Lai, Shengjie(Shengjie.Lai@soton.ac.uk) |
英文摘要 | The ever-increasing pandemic and natural disasters might spatial-temporal overlap to trigger compound disasters that disrupt urban life, including human movements. In this study, we proposed a framework for data-driven analyses on mobility resilience to uncover the compound effects of COVID-19 and extreme weather events on mobility recovery across cities with varied socioeconomic contexts. The concept of suppression risk (SR) is introduced to quantify the relative risk of mobility being reduced below the pre-pandemic baseline when certain variables deviate from their normal values. By analysing daily mobility data within and between 313 Chinese cities, we consistently observed that the highest SR under outbreaks occurred at high temperatures and abnormal precipitation levels, regardless of the type of travel, incidences, and time. Specifically, extremely high temperatures (at 35 degrees C) increased SR during outbreaks by 12.5%-120% but shortened the time for mobility recovery. Increased rainfall (at 20 mm/day) added SRs by 12.5%-300%, with delayed effects reflected in cross-city movements. These compound impacts, with varying lagged responses, were aggravated in cities with high population density and low GDP levels. Our findings provide quantitative evidence to inform the design of preparedness and response strategies for enhancing urban resilience in the face of future pandemics and compound disasters. |
WOS关键词 | HAZARDS ; RISK |
资助项目 | National Institute for Health (MIDAS Mobility)[R01AI160780] ; Bill amp; Melinda Gates Foundation[INV-024911] ; National Nature Science Foundation of China[72025405] ; National Nature Science Foundation of China[91846301] ; National Nature Science Foundation of China[72088101] ; Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai)[SML2021SP102] |
WOS研究方向 | Construction & Building Technology ; Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | ELSEVIER |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001066332200001 |
资助机构 | National Institute for Health (MIDAS Mobility) ; Bill amp; Melinda Gates Foundation ; National Nature Science Foundation of China ; Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/197996] |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Liu, Haiyan; Bai, Xuemei; Lai, Shengjie |
作者单位 | 1.Virginia Tech, Populat Hlth Sci, Blacksburg, VA 24060 USA 2.Zhengzhou Normal Univ, Zhengzhou 450044, Henan, Peoples R China 3.Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, Baltimore, MD 21218 USA 4.Natl Univ Def Technol, Coll Syst Engn, Changsha 410073, Hunan, Peoples R China 5.Fudan Univ, Shanghai Inst Infect Dis & Biosecur, Shanghai 200433, Peoples R China 6.Univ Southampton, Inst Life Sci, Southampton SO17 1BJ, England 7.Australia Natl Univ, Fenner Sch Environm & Soc, Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia 8.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 9.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 10.Ocean Data Ctr, Southern Marine Sci & Engn Guangdong Lab Zhuhai, Zhuhai 528478, Guangdong, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Haiyan,Wang, Jianghao,Liu, Jian,et al. Combined and delayed impacts of epidemics and extreme weather on urban mobility recovery[J]. SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY,2023,99:12. |
APA | Liu, Haiyan.,Wang, Jianghao.,Liu, Jian.,Ge, Yong.,Wang, Xiaoli.,...&Lai, Shengjie.(2023).Combined and delayed impacts of epidemics and extreme weather on urban mobility recovery.SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY,99,12. |
MLA | Liu, Haiyan,et al."Combined and delayed impacts of epidemics and extreme weather on urban mobility recovery".SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY 99(2023):12. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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