Increased wheat price spikes and larger economic inequality with 2? global warming
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhang, Tianyi2; Wiel, Karin van der3; Wei, Taoyuan4; Screen, James5; Yue, Xu6; Zheng, Bangyou7; Selten, Frank8; Bintanja, Richard3,9; Anderson, Weston; Blackport, Russell5 |
| 刊名 | ONE EARTH
 |
| 出版日期 | 2022 |
| 卷号 | 5期号:8页码:907 |
| ISSN号 | 2590-3330 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.07.004 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Climate change poses complex impacts on the global wheat supply and demand chain. The impacts of climate change on average wheat yields are reasonably well studied, but its effects on yield variability and the associated economic consequences are poorly understood. Here, we show that future global wheat pri-ces will exhibit steeper spikes at 2 & DEG;C global warming (6.2% increase in the 95th percentile of global consumer price anomalies) despite a 1.7% increase in production given that CO2 fertilization benefits crops. Such eco-nomic stresses could be abated by trade liberalization with lower prices. However, on the supply side, trade liberalization has contrasting effects: the profitability of farmers in advanced economies can be maintained or even raised, but this will inevitably cause economic losses and inequalities for farmers in less-developed, wheat-importing countries. Agricultural trade liberalization accompanied by protection policies in developing countries would be beneficial for global food security in the threat of climate change. |
| WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; IMPACTS ; DROUGHT ; SYSTEM ; YIELDS |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000863201200012 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.casisd.cn/handle/190111/12084]  |
| 专题 | 可持续发展政策研究所 |
| 作者单位 | 1.China Agr Univ, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Atmospher Boundary Layer Phys & Atmo, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteorol, Nanjing, Peoples R China 4.Royal Netherlands Meteorol Inst, De Bilt, Netherlands 5.Ctr Int Climate & Environm Res, Oslo, Norway 6.Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter, Devon, England 7.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, Nanjing, Peoples R China 8.Queensland Biosci Precinct, CSIRO Plant Ind, Brisbane, Qld, Australia 9.Univ Groningen, Energy & Sustainabil Res Inst Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands 10.Society, Int Res Inst Climate, Palisades, NY USA |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Tianyi,Wiel, Karin van der,Wei, Taoyuan,et al. Increased wheat price spikes and larger economic inequality with 2? global warming[J]. ONE EARTH,2022,5(8):907. |
| APA | Zhang, Tianyi.,Wiel, Karin van der.,Wei, Taoyuan.,Screen, James.,Yue, Xu.,...&Yang, Xiaoguang.(2022).Increased wheat price spikes and larger economic inequality with 2? global warming.ONE EARTH,5(8),907. |
| MLA | Zhang, Tianyi,et al."Increased wheat price spikes and larger economic inequality with 2? global warming".ONE EARTH 5.8(2022):907. |
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