Streamflow Response to Climate and Land-Use Changes in a Tropical Island Basin
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Cao, Can1,2,3; Sun, Rui1,4; Wu, Zhixiang1,4; Chen, Bangqian1,4; Yang, Chuan1,4; Li, Qian2; Fraedrich, Klaus5 |
刊名 | SUSTAINABILITY |
出版日期 | 2023-09-01 |
卷号 | 15期号:18页码:21 |
关键词 | SWAT model streamflow simulation land-use changes climate change scenario tropical island basin |
DOI | 10.3390/su151813941 |
通讯作者 | Sun, Rui(sunrui_85@163.com) ; Li, Qian(li_q@nxu.edu.cn) |
英文摘要 | The effects of climate change and of land use/cover change (LUCC) on streamflow as demonstrated by hydrological models are pressing issues on the frontiers of global environmental change research. The Nandu River Basin (NRB) as the largest of three river basins on the tropical Hainan Island, China, is subjected to an analysis of streamflow response to climate and to land-use change. It is based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) coupled with climate change signals extracted from the global climate model data in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) and with land-use change scenarios modeled by Cellular Automata (CA)-Markov. The results are summarized as follows: (1) Climate change contributed more to streamflow change than land-use change in the NRB, with contributions of 97.57% and 2.43%, respectively. Precipitation and temperature were the most important climate variables, contributing 92.66% and 4.91% to streamflow change. (2) In the tropical island basin from 1990 to 2015, LUCC regulated the hydrological processes in the NRB and affected hydrological processes by increasing evapotranspiration and decreasing surface runoff and subsurface flow, which resulted in decreasing streamflow. (3) Under the climate change and land-use change scenarios of the near-term period (2021-2040), the annual streamflow decreased as during the reference period (1995-2014); particularly, it decreased most (-6.16%) on the SSP126 path. These results present a case study for understanding the hydrological cycle of tropical island basins and to provide a theoretical basis for water resources management and regional sustainable development of tropical islands. |
WOS关键词 | SPATIOTEMPORAL CHANGES ; WATER-RESOURCES ; HAINAN ISLAND |
资助项目 | We would like to acknowledge the financial support of the Central Public-interest Scientific Institution Basal Research Fund for Chinese Academy of Tropical Agricultural Sciences (1630022022003), the High-level Talent Project of Hainan Basic and Applied Ba[1630022022003] ; Central Public-interest Scientific Institution Basal Research Fund for Chinese Academy of Tropical Agricultural Sciences[2019RC335] ; High-level Talent Project of Hainan Basic and Applied Basic Research Program (Natural Science)[CARS-33-ZP3] ; Earmarked Fund for China Agriculture Research System |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | MDPI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001072347100001 |
资助机构 | We would like to acknowledge the financial support of the Central Public-interest Scientific Institution Basal Research Fund for Chinese Academy of Tropical Agricultural Sciences (1630022022003), the High-level Talent Project of Hainan Basic and Applied Ba ; Central Public-interest Scientific Institution Basal Research Fund for Chinese Academy of Tropical Agricultural Sciences ; High-level Talent Project of Hainan Basic and Applied Basic Research Program (Natural Science) ; Earmarked Fund for China Agriculture Research System |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/198342] |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Sun, Rui; Li, Qian |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Trop Agr Sci, Rubber Res Inst, Haikou 571101, Peoples R China 2.Ningxia Univ, Sch Geog & Planning, Yinchuan 750021, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.Hainan Danzhou Trop Agroecosyst Natl Observat & Re, Danzhou 571737, Peoples R China 5.Max Planck Inst Meteorol, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Cao, Can,Sun, Rui,Wu, Zhixiang,et al. Streamflow Response to Climate and Land-Use Changes in a Tropical Island Basin[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2023,15(18):21. |
APA | Cao, Can.,Sun, Rui.,Wu, Zhixiang.,Chen, Bangqian.,Yang, Chuan.,...&Fraedrich, Klaus.(2023).Streamflow Response to Climate and Land-Use Changes in a Tropical Island Basin.SUSTAINABILITY,15(18),21. |
MLA | Cao, Can,et al."Streamflow Response to Climate and Land-Use Changes in a Tropical Island Basin".SUSTAINABILITY 15.18(2023):21. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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