Pathways to achieve carbon emission peak and carbon neutrality by 2060: A case study in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhan, Jinyan1; Wang, Chao2; Wang, Huihui1; Zhang, Fan3,4; Li, Zhihui3,4 |
| 刊名 | RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2024 |
| 卷号 | 189页码:15 |
| ISSN号 | 1364-0321 |
| 关键词 | Carbon emissions Carbon sequestration Scenario analysis System dynamic Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.rser.2023.113955 |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, Chao(wangc@cueb.edu.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Global climate change, rapid urbanization, and drastic economic development pose many threats and challenges to humanity, increasing the need for sustainable development, urban ecological management, and low-carbon transformations. Comprehensive simulation models rarely involve all the aspects of carbon emissions, carbon sequestration, population, economic, and energy sections. Firstly, this study evaluated the changes of the carbon neutrality rate in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region from 2000 to 2019. Then, a Carbon Neutrality Simulation Model (CNSM) was built using system dynamics. Finally, an optimal development scenario and pathways were identified for the BTH region based on scenario analysis. The results revealed that: (1) Carbon emissions first increased rapidly and then stabilized, carbon sequestration did not significantly change, and carbon neutrality rate decreased. (2) The baseline scenario (S1) did not reach the "dual carbon" target with carbon emissions increasing to 832.62 Mt in 2030 and 914.26 Mt in 2060, whereas the carbon neutrality rate increased to 17.96 % in 2030 and 22.69 % in 2060. (3) Among the single-factor scenarios (S2-S7), the industrial restructuring scenario (S3) had the greatest carbon reduction potential, reaching the carbon peak target. (4) Among the multi-factor scenarios, all the three baseline economic scenarios (S8-S10) reached carbon peak target in 2043, 2029, and 2022. The high constraint scenario (S10) reached the carbon neutrality target, as the optimal development scenario for the BTH region. All the results provide scientific evidences to achieve carbon neutrality target and regional sustainable development. |
| WOS关键词 | ENERGY-CONSUMPTION ; SCENARIO ANALYSIS ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; SEQUESTRATION ; DECOMPOSITION ; MODEL |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[72304192] ; State Key Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China[72033005] ; Science Fund for Creative Research Groups of the Na-tional Natural Science Foundation of China[72221002] ; Capital University of Economics and Business: The Fundamental Research Funds for Beijing Universities[XRZ2023066] |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001111692700001 |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; State Key Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Science Fund for Creative Research Groups of the Na-tional Natural Science Foundation of China ; Capital University of Economics and Business: The Fundamental Research Funds for Beijing Universities |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/200581]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, Chao |
| 作者单位 | 1.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Lab Water Environm Simulat, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 2.Capital Univ Econ & Business, Sch Lab Econ, Beijing 100070, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhan, Jinyan,Wang, Chao,Wang, Huihui,et al. Pathways to achieve carbon emission peak and carbon neutrality by 2060: A case study in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China[J]. RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS,2024,189:15. |
| APA | Zhan, Jinyan,Wang, Chao,Wang, Huihui,Zhang, Fan,&Li, Zhihui.(2024).Pathways to achieve carbon emission peak and carbon neutrality by 2060: A case study in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China.RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS,189,15. |
| MLA | Zhan, Jinyan,et al."Pathways to achieve carbon emission peak and carbon neutrality by 2060: A case study in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China".RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS 189(2024):15. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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