The implications for potential marginal land resources of cassava across worldwide under climate change challenges
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Li, Yongping1,4; Ding, Fangyu2,3; Hao, Mengmeng2,3; Chen, Shuai2,3; Jiang, Dong2,3; Fan, Peiwei3; Qian, Yushu3; Zhuo, Jun2,3; Wu, Jiajie2,3 |
刊名 | SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
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出版日期 | 2023-09-13 |
卷号 | 13期号:1页码:11 |
ISSN号 | 2045-2322 |
DOI | 10.1038/s41598-023-42132-y |
通讯作者 | Qian, Yushu(yushuqian@126.com) ; Zhuo, Jun(zhuojun6545@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Wu, Jiajie(wujj.21b@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
英文摘要 | The demand for energy plants is foreseen to grow as worldwide energy and climate policies promote the use of bioenergy for climate change mitigation. To avoid competing with food production, it's critical to assess future changes in marginal land availability for energy plant development. Using a machine learning method, boosted regression tree, this study modeled potential marginal land resources suitable for cassava under current and different climate change scenarios, based on cassava occurrence records and environmental covariates. The findings revealed that, currently, over 80% of the 1357.24 Mha of available marginal land for cassava cultivation is distributed in Africa and South America. Under three climate change scenarios, by 2030, worldwide suitable marginal land resources were predicted to grow by 39.71Mha, 66.21 Mha, and 39.31Mha for the RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively; by 2050, the potential marginal land suitable for cassava will increase by 38.98Mha, 83.02 Mha, and 55.43Mha, respectively; by 2080, the global marginal land resources were estimated to rise by 40.82 Mha, 99.74 Mha, and 21.87 Mha from now, respectively. Our results highlight the impacts of climate change on potential marginal land resources of cassava across worldwide, which provide the basis for assessing bioenergy potential in the future. |
WOS关键词 | BIOENERGY |
资助项目 | National Key R&D Program of China[2019YFC0507805] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42001238] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42201497] ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association[2023000117] |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001115632500015 |
出版者 | NATURE PORTFOLIO |
资助机构 | National Key R&D Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/201245] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Qian, Yushu; Zhuo, Jun; Wu, Jiajie |
作者单位 | 1.Yunnan Inst Land Resources Planning & Design, Kunming 650216, Yunnan, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, 11A Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.Kunming Univ Sci & Technol, Fac Land Resource Engn, Kunming 650093, Yunnan, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Yongping,Ding, Fangyu,Hao, Mengmeng,et al. The implications for potential marginal land resources of cassava across worldwide under climate change challenges[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2023,13(1):11. |
APA | Li, Yongping.,Ding, Fangyu.,Hao, Mengmeng.,Chen, Shuai.,Jiang, Dong.,...&Wu, Jiajie.(2023).The implications for potential marginal land resources of cassava across worldwide under climate change challenges.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,13(1),11. |
MLA | Li, Yongping,et al."The implications for potential marginal land resources of cassava across worldwide under climate change challenges".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 13.1(2023):11. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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