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The implications for potential marginal land resources of cassava across worldwide under climate change challenges

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Li, Yongping1,4; Ding, Fangyu2,3; Hao, Mengmeng2,3; Chen, Shuai2,3; Jiang, Dong2,3; Fan, Peiwei3; Qian, Yushu3; Zhuo, Jun2,3; Wu, Jiajie2,3
刊名SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
出版日期2023-09-13
卷号13期号:1页码:11
ISSN号2045-2322
DOI10.1038/s41598-023-42132-y
通讯作者Qian, Yushu(yushuqian@126.com) ; Zhuo, Jun(zhuojun6545@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Wu, Jiajie(wujj.21b@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要The demand for energy plants is foreseen to grow as worldwide energy and climate policies promote the use of bioenergy for climate change mitigation. To avoid competing with food production, it's critical to assess future changes in marginal land availability for energy plant development. Using a machine learning method, boosted regression tree, this study modeled potential marginal land resources suitable for cassava under current and different climate change scenarios, based on cassava occurrence records and environmental covariates. The findings revealed that, currently, over 80% of the 1357.24 Mha of available marginal land for cassava cultivation is distributed in Africa and South America. Under three climate change scenarios, by 2030, worldwide suitable marginal land resources were predicted to grow by 39.71Mha, 66.21 Mha, and 39.31Mha for the RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively; by 2050, the potential marginal land suitable for cassava will increase by 38.98Mha, 83.02 Mha, and 55.43Mha, respectively; by 2080, the global marginal land resources were estimated to rise by 40.82 Mha, 99.74 Mha, and 21.87 Mha from now, respectively. Our results highlight the impacts of climate change on potential marginal land resources of cassava across worldwide, which provide the basis for assessing bioenergy potential in the future.
WOS关键词BIOENERGY
资助项目National Key R&D Program of China[2019YFC0507805] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42001238] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42201497] ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association[2023000117]
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
语种英语
出版者NATURE PORTFOLIO
WOS记录号WOS:001115632500015
资助机构National Key R&D Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/201245]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Qian, Yushu; Zhuo, Jun; Wu, Jiajie
作者单位1.Yunnan Inst Land Resources Planning & Design, Kunming 650216, Yunnan, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, 11A Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.Kunming Univ Sci & Technol, Fac Land Resource Engn, Kunming 650093, Yunnan, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Li, Yongping,Ding, Fangyu,Hao, Mengmeng,et al. The implications for potential marginal land resources of cassava across worldwide under climate change challenges[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2023,13(1):11.
APA Li, Yongping.,Ding, Fangyu.,Hao, Mengmeng.,Chen, Shuai.,Jiang, Dong.,...&Wu, Jiajie.(2023).The implications for potential marginal land resources of cassava across worldwide under climate change challenges.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,13(1),11.
MLA Li, Yongping,et al."The implications for potential marginal land resources of cassava across worldwide under climate change challenges".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 13.1(2023):11.

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来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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