中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Evaluation of digital soil mapping projection in soil organic carbon change modeling

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Zhang, Tao1,3; Huang, Lai-Ming2,4; Yang, Ren-Min3
刊名ECOLOGICAL INFORMATICS
出版日期2024-03-01
卷号79页码:12
关键词Soil carbon change Digital soil mapping Model projections Environmental change Temporal transferability
ISSN号1574-9541
DOI10.1016/j.ecoinf.2023.102394
通讯作者Yang, Ren-Min(yangrm@tju.edu.cn)
英文摘要There is increasing interest in the application of digital soil mapping (DSM) projections to infer changes in soil carbon across both space and time. This approach relies on the assumption that the spatially modeled soil carbonenvironment relationship can be transferred over time. However, this assumption is rarely tested due to a lack of temporally independent validation data. This paper assesses this assumption by developing models of topsoil organic carbon stocks (SOCS) with a deep learning algorithm and data covering mainland China pertaining to the 1980s and 2010s. The temporal prediction performance of models capturing a specific period was assessed by evaluating their performance in the prediction of data during another period. The results revealed that the prediction accuracy of temporal modeling decreased, as indicated by the coefficient of determination, and was lower than that of spatial modeling. The lower prediction accuracy obtained with the DSM-projection approach may result from differences in the magnitudes of influential variables across periods. We found that different levels of environmental similarity and model projection sensitivity to dynamic variables may cause discrepancies in forecast and hindcast accuracy. Our results demonstrate that the prediction error in temporal modeling is related to the degree of environmental similarity between periods. Our findings generally support the implementation of the DSM-projection approach in soil carbon change modeling. However, caution should be exercised, as there exists much uncertainty regarding the projection of spatial models over time.
WOS关键词LAND-USE CHANGE ; PROPENSITY SCORE ; STOCKS ; CLIMATE ; SEQUESTRATION ; PREDICTION ; MAP
资助项目National Natural Science Founda-tion of China[42171054] ; National Natural Science Founda-tion of China[42377302]
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001132273100001
出版者ELSEVIER
资助机构National Natural Science Founda-tion of China
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/201338]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Yang, Ren-Min
作者单位1.East China Univ Technol, Sch Surveying & Geoinformat Engn, Nanchang 330013, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resource & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Tianjin Univ, Sch Earth Syst Sci, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modeling, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zhang, Tao,Huang, Lai-Ming,Yang, Ren-Min. Evaluation of digital soil mapping projection in soil organic carbon change modeling[J]. ECOLOGICAL INFORMATICS,2024,79:12.
APA Zhang, Tao,Huang, Lai-Ming,&Yang, Ren-Min.(2024).Evaluation of digital soil mapping projection in soil organic carbon change modeling.ECOLOGICAL INFORMATICS,79,12.
MLA Zhang, Tao,et al."Evaluation of digital soil mapping projection in soil organic carbon change modeling".ECOLOGICAL INFORMATICS 79(2024):12.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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