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The Ginkgo biloba L. in China: Current Distribution and Possible Future Habitat

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Zhang, Ying4; Zhang, Jinbing4; Tian, Li5; Huang, Yaohui2,3; Shao, Changliang1
刊名FORESTS
出版日期2023-12-01
卷号14期号:12页码:18
关键词Ginkgo biloba L. climate change MaxEnt climate change scenario China
DOI10.3390/f14122284
通讯作者Tian, Li(tianli@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要With the increase in global temperature, the global change situation dominated by climate warming is becoming more and more serious. Climate change will cause differences in the suitable areas of species in different periods. Ginkgo biloba L., a rare and endangered wild plant protected at the national level in China, is the oldest relict plant in the world. Because of severe climate change, only China's wild Ginkgo biloba has been preserved, yet China's wild Ginkgo biloba population is facing extinction risk. Ginkgo biloba has rich ornamental value, application value, economic value, medicinal value and ecological value. Not only can it produce economic and ecological benefits, but it can also produce huge social benefits. Based on the data of Ginkgo biloba sample distribution, bioclimatic variables and soil variables, this paper uses the MaxEnt model to simulate Ginkgo biloba suitable area under current and future different climate scenarios, and analyzes the changes in the potential suitable area of Ginkgo biloba in the future through ArcGIS 10.6. The results are as follows: (1) the results simulated by the MaxEnt model are AUC > 0.9, showing that the simulation results have a high accuracy; (2) the min temperature of the coldest month, precipitation of the wettest month, elevation, and temperature seasonality are the main environmental variables affecting the change in the Ginkgo biloba suitable area; (3) under future climate scenarios, the suitable area of Ginkgo biloba is predicted to expand in the future, covering most of the south and some northeast regions, and moderate temperature and precipitation changes under climate change are conducive for the growth of Ginkgo biloba; and (4) in the future, the distribution center of the suitable area will move to the northeast. According to the conclusions in this paper, it is expected to provide theoretical reference for cultivation and management, sustainable utilization and solution of ecological environment problems of Ginkgo biloba.
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS ; MODELS ; IMPACT ; SUITABILITY ; RESPONSES ; SYSTEM
资助项目Basic Frontier Science Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Original
WOS研究方向Forestry
语种英语
出版者MDPI
WOS记录号WOS:001132580000001
资助机构Basic Frontier Science Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Original
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/201398]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Tian, Li
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Agr Sci IARRP CAAS, Inst Agr Resources & Reg Planning, Innovat Team Grassland Ecol Remote Sensing, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Reg Sustainable Dev Modeling, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.Henan Univ, Coll Geog & Environm Sci, Kaifeng 475004, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modeling, Natl Crit Zone Observ Red Soil Hilly Reg Qianyanzh, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Zhang, Ying,Zhang, Jinbing,Tian, Li,et al. The Ginkgo biloba L. in China: Current Distribution and Possible Future Habitat[J]. FORESTS,2023,14(12):18.
APA Zhang, Ying,Zhang, Jinbing,Tian, Li,Huang, Yaohui,&Shao, Changliang.(2023).The Ginkgo biloba L. in China: Current Distribution and Possible Future Habitat.FORESTS,14(12),18.
MLA Zhang, Ying,et al."The Ginkgo biloba L. in China: Current Distribution and Possible Future Habitat".FORESTS 14.12(2023):18.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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