The main and added effects of heat on mortality in 33 Chinese cities from 2007 to 2013
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Niu, Yanlin1,7; Yang, Jun6; Zhao, Qi4,5,9; Gao, Yuan8; Xue, Tao10,11; Yin, Qian12; Yin, Peng2; Wang, Jinfeng12; Zhou, Maigeng2; Liu, Qiyong4,7 |
| 刊名 | FRONTIERS OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & ENGINEERING
 |
| 出版日期 | 2023-07-01 |
| 卷号 | 17期号:7页码:81 |
| 关键词 | Heat Added effect Vulnerable population Main effect Mortality |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11783-023-1681-5 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Increases in ambient temperatures and the frequency of extreme heat events constitute important burdens on global public health. However, evidence on their effects on public health is limited and inconclusive in China. In this study, data on daily deaths recorded in 33 Chinese cities from 2007 to 2013 was used to evaluate the effect of heat on mortality in China. In addition to the definition of a heatwave established by the China Meteorological Administration, we combined four city-specific relative thresholds (90th, 92.5th, 95th, and 97.5th percentiles) of the daily mean temperature during the study period and three durations of ? 2, ? 3, and ? 4 days, from which 13 heatwave definitions were developed. Then, we estimated the main and added effects of heat at the city level using a quasi-Poisson generalized additive model combined with a distributed lag nonlinear model. Next, the estimates for the effects were pooled at the national level using a multivariable meta-analysis. Subgroup analysis was performed according to sex, age, educational attainment, and spatially stratified heterogeneity. The results showed that the mortality risk increased from 22.3% to 37.1% due to the effects of the different heatwave definitions. The added effects were much lower, with the highest increase of 3.9% (95% CI: 1.7%-6.1%) in mortality risk. Females, the elderly, populations with low educational levels, and populations living inland in China were found to be the most vulnerable to the detrimental effects of heat. These findings have important implications for the improvement of early warning systems for heatwaves. |
| WOS关键词 | AMBIENT-TEMPERATURE ; UNITED-STATES ; HOT WEATHER ; HEALTH ; WAVES ; IMPACT ; RISK ; DEFINITION ; EXPLORATION ; EXTREMES |
| WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000933277500004 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/200710]  |
| 专题 | 资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Natl Inst Communicable Dis Control & Prevent, State Key Lab Infect Dis Prevent & Control, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Natl Ctr Chron & Noncommunicable Dis Control & Pre, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China 4.Shandong Univ, Cheeloo Coll Med, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, Jinan 250012, Peoples R China 5.Guangzhou Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Guangzhou 511436, Peoples R China 6.UCL, London WC1H 0NN, England 7.Beijing Ctr Dis Prevent & Control, Inst Nutr & Food Hyg, Beijing 100013, Peoples R China 8.IUF Leibniz Res Inst Environm Med, Dept Epidemiol, D-40225 Dusseldorf, Germany 9.Shandong Univ, Climate Change & Hlth Ctr, Jinan 250100, Peoples R China 10.Monash Univ, Sch Publ Hlth & Prevent Med, Melbourne, Vic 3004, Australia |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Niu, Yanlin,Yang, Jun,Zhao, Qi,et al. The main and added effects of heat on mortality in 33 Chinese cities from 2007 to 2013[J]. FRONTIERS OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & ENGINEERING,2023,17(7):81. |
| APA | Niu, Yanlin.,Yang, Jun.,Zhao, Qi.,Gao, Yuan.,Xue, Tao.,...&Liu, Qiyong.(2023).The main and added effects of heat on mortality in 33 Chinese cities from 2007 to 2013.FRONTIERS OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & ENGINEERING,17(7),81. |
| MLA | Niu, Yanlin,et al."The main and added effects of heat on mortality in 33 Chinese cities from 2007 to 2013".FRONTIERS OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & ENGINEERING 17.7(2023):81. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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