Ocean-atmosphere circulation coherences associated with temperature increase in Pakistan
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Hussain, Azfar; Hussain, Ishtiaq9; Ali, Shaukat4,10; Ullah, Waheed11; Rezaei, Abolfazl3; Ullah, Safi5,6; Abbas, Haider7; Manzoom, Asima1; Zhou, Jinxing8; Cao, Jianhua |
刊名 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
出版日期 | 2023-09-01 |
卷号 | 18期号:9页码:94028 |
关键词 | temperature Atlantic and Pacific teleconnections wavelet coherence ENSO global warming |
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/acee99 |
文献子类 | Article |
英文摘要 | In recent decades, temperature variations have significantly affected the ecosystem and human livelihood in Pakistan. The wavelet analysis is employed to identify the associations between regional temperature change and global teleconnections, i.e. Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), Tropical Northern Atlantic Index (TNA), Pacific/North American Index (PNA), North Pacific Pattern (NP), Western Pacific Index (WP), and Western Hemisphere Warm Pool (WHWP). This paper first uses monotonic modified Mann-Kendall and Sen's slope estimator to compute the temperature changes in Pakistan and its homogenous climatic regions during 1960-2020. It is found that the temperature in Pakistan has increased significantly at 0.23 degrees C dec(-1) in the last 62 years, which is also higher than the global average increase. This increase is more evident in region IV and V in spring at 0.63 and 0.43 degrees C dec(-1) respectively, followed by summer and autumn. Temperature changes in Pakistan and its sub-regions are mainly associated with NP, WP and WHWP with higher mean significant coherences. Overall, temperature changes are significantly influenced by multiple interactions of global teleconnections, and these combinations indicate that the integrated influence of teleconnections can better explain the regional temperature changes. The teleconnections with broader significant influence over Pakistan are NP + WP + WHWP, followed by Pacific-based (ENSO, PDO, and PNA), and Atlantic-based (AMO, AO, and NAO) indices as revealed by the mean significant coherences of 0.82, 0.82 and 0.72 respectively. Annually, AMO, TNA and WHWP showed significant correlation with higher magnitudes of 0.44, 0.42 and 0.20 respectively, indicating the modulation effect of these teleconnections on temperature changes over Pakistan. The combined impacts from the various teleconnections represent a considerable advancement in the accuracy of significant temperature variations over the country. These findings have significant implications for policymakers in terms of better planning and policies in light of climate change as well as atmospheric circulation variability. |
WOS关键词 | MULTIPLE-WAVELET COHERENCE ; VARIABILITY ; TELECONNECTIONS ; PRECIPITATION ; OSCILLATION ; PROJECTIONS ; IMPACTS ; INDEXES ; LINKAGE ; TREND |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001053911200001 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/200893] |
专题 | 生态系统网络观测与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modelling, Synth Res Ctr Chinese Ecosyst Res Network, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Beijing Forestry Univ, Sch Soil & Water Conservat, Jianshui Res Stn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China 3.Rabdan Acad, Def & Secur Capabil, Abu Dhabi 114646, U Arab Emirates 4.Inst Adv Studies Basic Sci, Dept Earth Sci, Zanjan 4513766731, Iran 5.Karakoram Int Univ, Dept Environm Sci, Gilgit 15100, Pakistan 6.King Abdullah Univ Sci & Technol KAUST, Environm Sci & Engn Program, Biol & Environm Sci & Engn Div, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia 7.King Abdullah Univ Sci & Technol KAUST, KAUST Climate & Livabil Initiat CLI, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia 8.Fatima Jinnah Women Univ, Dept Sociol, Rawalpindi 44000, Pakistan 9.Chinese Acad Geol Sci, Inst Karst Geol, Int Res Ctr Karst Ausp UNESCO, Guilin 541004, Peoples R China 10.Chung Yuan Christian Univ, Dept Appl Math, Chungli 32023, Taiwan |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hussain, Azfar,Hussain, Ishtiaq,Ali, Shaukat,et al. Ocean-atmosphere circulation coherences associated with temperature increase in Pakistan[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2023,18(9):94028. |
APA | Hussain, Azfar.,Hussain, Ishtiaq.,Ali, Shaukat.,Ullah, Waheed.,Rezaei, Abolfazl.,...&Cao, Jianhua.(2023).Ocean-atmosphere circulation coherences associated with temperature increase in Pakistan.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,18(9),94028. |
MLA | Hussain, Azfar,et al."Ocean-atmosphere circulation coherences associated with temperature increase in Pakistan".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 18.9(2023):94028. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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