中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
首页 机构 成果 学者
  
  1. CAS IR Grid
  2. 地质与地球物理研究所
  3. 中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所
  4. 中国科学院新生代地质与环境重点实验室
Quantitative attribution of Northern Hemisphere temperatures over the past 2000 years

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Shi, Feng1,4; Ting, Mingfang3; Guo, Zhengtang1,2,4
刊名FRONTIERS OF EARTH SCIENCE
出版日期2023-07-22
页码10
ISSN号2095-0195
关键词Common Era Internal variability Dark Ages Cold Period Medieval Climate Anomaly Current Warm Period
DOI10.1007/s11707-023-1086-6
英文摘要Quantitative assessment of natural internal variability and externally forced responses of Northern Hemisphere (NH) temperatures is necessary for understanding and attributing climate change signals during past warm and cold periods. However, it remains a challenge to distinguish the robust internally generated variability from the observed variability. Here, large-ensemble (70 member) simulations, Energy Balance Model simulation, temperature ensemble reconstruction, and three dominant external forcings (volcanic, solar, and greenhouse gas) were combined to estimate the internal variability of NH summer (June-August) temperatures over the past 2000 years (1-2000 CE). Results indicate that the Medieval Climate Anomaly was predominantly attributed to centennial-scale internal oscillation, accounting for an estimated 104% of the warming anomaly. In contrast, the Current Warm Period is influenced mainly by external forcing, contributing up to 90% of the warming anomaly. Internal temperature variability offsets cooling by volcanic eruptions during the Late Antique Little Ice Age. These findings have important implications for the attribution of past climate variability and improvement of future climate projections.
WOS关键词EARTH SYSTEM MODEL ; INTERNAL VARIABILITY ; CLIMATE VARIABILITY ; LAST MILLENNIUM ; RECONSTRUCTIONS ; SIMULATIONS ; ENSEMBLE ; ATLANTIC
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[41888101] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42077406] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDB26020000] ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS[IGGCAS-201905] ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS
WOS研究方向Geology
语种英语
出版者SPRINGER
WOS记录号WOS:001034552100001
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology amp; Geophysics, CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS
源URL[http://ir.iggcas.ac.cn/handle/132A11/111318]  
专题地质与地球物理研究所_中国科学院新生代地质与环境重点实验室
通讯作者Shi, Feng
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geol & Geophys, Key Lab Cenozo Geol & Environm, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY 10964 USA
4.CAS Ctr Excellence Life & Paleoenvironm, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Shi, Feng,Ting, Mingfang,Guo, Zhengtang. Quantitative attribution of Northern Hemisphere temperatures over the past 2000 years[J]. FRONTIERS OF EARTH SCIENCE,2023:10.
APA Shi, Feng,Ting, Mingfang,&Guo, Zhengtang.(2023).Quantitative attribution of Northern Hemisphere temperatures over the past 2000 years.FRONTIERS OF EARTH SCIENCE,10.
MLA Shi, Feng,et al."Quantitative attribution of Northern Hemisphere temperatures over the past 2000 years".FRONTIERS OF EARTH SCIENCE (2023):10.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地质与地球物理研究所

浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本

除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。