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After the pandemic: the global seafood trade market forecasts in 2030

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Wei, Chunzhu1,2; Zhang, Mo3,4; Chen, Wei1,2; Ge, Yong2,3,4; Wang, Daoping5,6; Zhang, Die4; Xue, Desheng1,2; Cheng, Qiuming7; Cheng, Changxiu8,9; Zhang, Wenguang10
刊名HUMANITIES & SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS
出版日期2023-09-15
卷号10期号:1页码:13
DOI10.1057/s41599-023-02070-6
通讯作者Ge, Yong(gey@lreis.ac.cn) ; Xue, Desheng(eesxds@mail.sysu.edu.cn)
英文摘要The COVID-19 lockdowns have transitioned to a new normal and triggered commodity supply disruption and trade uncertainty, yet little is known about the seafood trade resilience of developing and developed countries amid pandemic-related shocks. Here, employing a newly developed geographical transition-net model, we simulate a set of idealized lockdown scenarios in a real-world seafood network. The results show that (1) even if restrictions from regions with high strictness policies were eventually lifted globally at the end of 2022, the pandemic-induced disruption will continue to affect global seafood trade until 2030, and the annual growth rate of the global seafood market would be around 1% lower than that during 2006-2019; (2) Due to the continued high level of stringency in China in 2022 and the soaring demand of seafood in the developed countries in the post-COVID-19 era, developed countries are increasingly reliant on their intra-regional trade until 2030; (3) The global seafood supply chains will magnify export losses beyond the direct effects of COVID-19, and there would be 17 to 57 million people in the developing countries in 2030 facing seafood supply shortage. The new long-term challenge is to call for the multilateral cooperation of major exporters for global seafood trade recovery. Our study provides a new perspective to evaluate the economic impact of COVID-19 as well as the cascading effect caused by the supply-chain linkages in the global seafood system.
WOS关键词GROWTH ; RESILIENCE ; STRATEGY ; IMPACT ; RISK ; FISH
WOS研究方向Arts & Humanities - Other Topics ; Social Sciences - Other Topics
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001162750000002
出版者SPRINGERNATURE
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/203390]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Ge, Yong; Xue, Desheng
作者单位1.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Geog & Planning, Guangzhou 510006, Peoples R China
2.Southern Marine Sci & Engn Guangdong Lab Zhuhai, Zhuhai 519080, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
5.Univ Cambridge, Dept Comp Sci & Technol, Cambridge CB3 0FD, England
6.Kings Coll London, Dept Geog, London WC2R 2LS, England
7.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Earth Sci & Engn, Zhuhai 519000, Peoples R China
8.Beijing Normal Univ, Key Lab Environm Change & Nat Disaster, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
9.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
10.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Govt, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Wei, Chunzhu,Zhang, Mo,Chen, Wei,et al. After the pandemic: the global seafood trade market forecasts in 2030[J]. HUMANITIES & SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS,2023,10(1):13.
APA Wei, Chunzhu.,Zhang, Mo.,Chen, Wei.,Ge, Yong.,Wang, Daoping.,...&Zhang, Wenguang.(2023).After the pandemic: the global seafood trade market forecasts in 2030.HUMANITIES & SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS,10(1),13.
MLA Wei, Chunzhu,et al."After the pandemic: the global seafood trade market forecasts in 2030".HUMANITIES & SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS 10.1(2023):13.

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来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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