Spatiotemporal dynamics of wetlands and their future multi-scenario simulation in the Yellow River Delta, China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Yu, Bowei1,5; Zang, Yongge2; Wu, Chunsheng3; Zhao, Zhonghe4 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
 |
| 出版日期 | 2024-02-27 |
| 卷号 | 353页码:12 |
| 关键词 | Multi -scenario simulation PLUS model Spatiotemporal change Wetland Yellow River Delta |
| ISSN号 | 0301-4797 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120193 |
| 通讯作者 | Yu, Bowei(yubowei@caas.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Wetlands, known as the "kidney of the earth", are an important component of global ecosystems. However, they have been changed under multiple stresses in recent decades, which is especially true in the Yellow River Delta. This study examined the spatiotemporal change characteristics of wetlands in the Yellow River Delta from 1980 to 2020 and predicted detailed wetland changes from 2020 to 2030 with the patch -generating land use simulation (PLUS) model under four scenarios, namely, the natural development scenario (NDS), the farmland protection scenario (FPS), the wetland protection scenario (WPS) and the harmonious development scenario (HDS). The results showed that wetlands increased 709.29 km2 from 1980 to 2020 overall, and the wetland types in the Yellow River Delta changed divergently. Over the past four decades, the tidal flats have decreased, whereas the reservoirs and ponds have increased. The gravity center movement of wetlands differed among the wetland types, with artificial wetlands moving to the northwest and natural wetlands moving to the south. The movement distance of the gravity center demonstrated apparent phase characteristics, and an abrupt change occurred from 2005 to 2010. The PLUS model was satisfactory, with an overall accuracy (OA) value greater than 83.48 % and an figure of merit (FOM) value greater than 0.1164. From 2020 to 2030, paddy fields and tidal flats decreased, whereas natural water, marshes and reservoirs and ponds increased under the four scenarios. The WPS was a relatively ideal scenario for wetlands, and the HDS was an alternative scenario for wetland restoration and food production. In the future, more attention should be paid to restoring natural wetlands to prevent further degradation in the Yellow River Delta. This study provides insights into new understandings of historical and future changes in wetlands and may have implications for wetland ecosystem protection and sustainable development. |
| WOS关键词 | LAND-USE CHANGE ; AREA |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Founda- tion of China[42007413] ; Central Public-interest Scientific Institution Basal Research Fund[BSRF202225] |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001178049700001 |
| 出版者 | ACADEMIC PRESS LTD- ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Founda- tion of China ; Central Public-interest Scientific Institution Basal Research Fund |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/203642]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Yu, Bowei |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Inst Environm & Sustainable Dev Agr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Res Inst Environm Sci, State Key Lab Environm Criteria & Risk Assessment, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modelling, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Agr Informat Inst, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Inst Environm & Sustainable Dev Agr, 12 Zhongguancun South St, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yu, Bowei,Zang, Yongge,Wu, Chunsheng,et al. Spatiotemporal dynamics of wetlands and their future multi-scenario simulation in the Yellow River Delta, China[J]. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,2024,353:12. |
| APA | Yu, Bowei,Zang, Yongge,Wu, Chunsheng,&Zhao, Zhonghe.(2024).Spatiotemporal dynamics of wetlands and their future multi-scenario simulation in the Yellow River Delta, China.JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,353,12. |
| MLA | Yu, Bowei,et al."Spatiotemporal dynamics of wetlands and their future multi-scenario simulation in the Yellow River Delta, China".JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 353(2024):12. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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