The trajectory of carbon emissions and terrestrial carbon sinks at the provincial level in China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Hu, Yongjie1; Li, Ying2; Zhang, Hong1; Liu, Xiaolin3; Zheng, Yixian1; Gong, He4 |
| 刊名 | SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2024-03-09 |
| 卷号 | 14期号:1页码:14 |
| ISSN号 | 2045-2322 |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41598-024-55868-y |
| 通讯作者 | Liu, Xiaolin(xlliu2@shmtu.edu.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Global greenhouse gas emission, major factor driving climate change, has been increasing since nineteenth century. STIRPAT and CEVSA models were performed to estimate the carbon emission peaks and terrestrial ecosystem carbon sinks at the provincial level in China, respectively. Utilizing the growth characteristics and the peak time criteria for the period 1997-2019, the patterns of energy consumption and CO2 emissions from 30 Chinese provinces are categorized into four groups: (i) one-stage increase (5 provinces), (ii) two-stage increase (10 provinces), (iii) maximum around 2013 (13 provinces), and (iv) maximum around 2017 (2 provinces). According to the STIRPAT model, the anticipated time of peak CO2 emissions for Beijing from the third group is similar to 2025 in both business-as-usual and high-speed scenarios. For Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region from the first group and Zhejiang province from the second group, the expected peak time is 2025 to 2030. Shaanxi province from the fourth group is likely to reach carbon emission peak before 2030. The inventory-based estimate of China's terrestrial carbon sink is similar to 266.2 Tg C/a during the period 1982-2015, offsetting 18.3% of contemporary CO2 emissions. The province-level CO2 emissions, peak emissions and terrestrial carbon sinks estimates presented here are significant for those concerned with carbon neutrality. |
| WOS关键词 | CO2 EMISSIONS ; PEAK ; ECOSYSTEMS |
| 资助项目 | The National Natural Resources Foundation[52331012] ; The National Natural Resources Foundation[52071200] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001185505600038 |
| 出版者 | NATURE PORTFOLIO |
| 资助机构 | The National Natural Resources Foundation ; National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/204201]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Liu, Xiaolin |
| 作者单位 | 1.Sinopec Int Petr Explorat & Prod Corp, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China 2.Nanjing Univ, Sch Earth Sci & Engn, Nanjing 210093, Jiangsu, Peoples R China 3.Shanghai Maritime Univ, Merchant Marine Coll, Shanghai 201306, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modeling, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hu, Yongjie,Li, Ying,Zhang, Hong,et al. The trajectory of carbon emissions and terrestrial carbon sinks at the provincial level in China[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2024,14(1):14. |
| APA | Hu, Yongjie,Li, Ying,Zhang, Hong,Liu, Xiaolin,Zheng, Yixian,&Gong, He.(2024).The trajectory of carbon emissions and terrestrial carbon sinks at the provincial level in China.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,14(1),14. |
| MLA | Hu, Yongjie,et al."The trajectory of carbon emissions and terrestrial carbon sinks at the provincial level in China".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 14.1(2024):14. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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