Adopting agronomic strategies to enhance the adaptation of global rice production to future climate change: a meta-analysis
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Li, Saiya1; Wu, Feng1; Zhou, Qing2; Zhang, Yali1 |
| 刊名 | AGRONOMY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
 |
| 出版日期 | 2024-06-01 |
| 卷号 | 44期号:3页码:23 |
| 关键词 | Rice yield Climate change Agronomic adaptation strategies Resilience Meta-analysis |
| DOI | 10.1007/s13593-024-00963-7 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Review |
| 英文摘要 | The impact of climate change on rice yield varies among different rice varieties. Designing effective agronomic adaptation strategies is crucial for global rice provision. However, considerable uncertainty remains as to which approaches/strategies should be used in different regions. To this end, we conducted a meta-analysis aimed at quantifying firstly the marginal effects of climate change (i.e., temperature, precipitation, and CO2) and four adaptation strategies (i.e., changing varieties, adjusting fertilization, adjusting irrigation, and altering planting dates) on rice yield in Indica, Japonica, and Hybrid rice. We further assessed climate risks to rice yield and identified optimum adaptation strategies under three shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) scenarios. The results of the meta-analysis showed that temperature has the greatest negative marginal effect of -3.11% on rice yield, with changing varieties being the most effective strategy (15.93%) to counter this effect, followed by increased irrigation (0.24%). Projected climate scenarios predict a 2.11% global average rice yield decrease in the 2040s under SSP5-8.5. Japonica rice yields are significantly more pessimistic than Indica and Hybrid rice. To offset this, 86.48% of the rice planting area would need to change varieties; increase fertilization and irrigation by 51.22% and 8.54%, respectively; or plant in advance by 13 days. Major rice-producing countries such as India, China, and Brazil will need adaptation strategies with higher urgency and scale than the global average. These findings form a basis for a better understanding of climate resilience in different rice varieties and agronomic strategies. Our analysis suggests that it is possible for future rice yield to meet the needs of rice-growing countries while supporting eco-friendly rice production if the appropriate measures are taken. Overall, this study attempts firstly to design effective agronomic adaptation strategies to enhance rice production resilience against climate change and advance understanding of rice varietal adaptation for improved management. |
| WOS关键词 | NITROGEN USE EFFICIENCY ; HYBRID RICE ; PLANTING DATE ; ELEVATED CO2 ; WATER PRODUCTIVITY ; CROP PRODUCTION ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; FOOD SECURITY ; YIELD ; MANAGEMENT |
| WOS研究方向 | Agriculture ; Science & Technology - Other Topics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001204453500001 |
| 出版者 | SPRINGER FRANCE |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/204793]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Huazhong Agr Univ, Coll Publ Adm, Wuhan 430070, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Saiya,Wu, Feng,Zhou, Qing,et al. Adopting agronomic strategies to enhance the adaptation of global rice production to future climate change: a meta-analysis[J]. AGRONOMY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT,2024,44(3):23. |
| APA | Li, Saiya,Wu, Feng,Zhou, Qing,&Zhang, Yali.(2024).Adopting agronomic strategies to enhance the adaptation of global rice production to future climate change: a meta-analysis.AGRONOMY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT,44(3),23. |
| MLA | Li, Saiya,et al."Adopting agronomic strategies to enhance the adaptation of global rice production to future climate change: a meta-analysis".AGRONOMY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT 44.3(2024):23. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。