Climate change reduces agricultural total factor productivity in major agricultural production areas of China even with continuously increasing agricultural inputs
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhou, Hong1; Tao, Fulu1; Chen, Yi1; Yin, Lichang1; Wang, Yicheng1; Li, Yibo1; Zhang, Shuai1 |
| 刊名 | AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2024-04-15 |
| 卷号 | 349页码:109953 |
| 关键词 | Agricultural inputs Agricultural outputs Agricultural production efficiency Climate change impact |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.109953 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Agricultural total factor productivity (ATFP) is a crucial measure that determines the aggregate agricultural output per unit of aggregate input. ATFP is sensitive to climate change; however, the impacts of climate change on ATFP have rarely been investigated despite its significance. In this study, we employ the Malmquist index methods to calculate the ATFP from 1981 to 2019 based on detailed census data at the prefecture level across China. Furthermore, we project the ATFP in the period of 2020-2060 under the Societal Development Pathway (SSP) 1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0. The results showed that, during 1981-2019, the ATFP of China increased significantly, ranging from 0.74 to 38.95. The joint changes in temperature and precipitation benefited ATFP growth in some prefectures in northwestern, northeastern and southern China but reduced it in the Huang -Huai -Hai Region. During 2031-2060, ATFP is projected to be more positively affected by climate change in northern China than in southern China. Some regions such as the Northwest Arid Region, most of the Northeast China and Southwest China Region will benefit from climate change. However, some major agricultural production areas including the Huang -Huai -Hai Region and southeast China are expected to be negatively affected by climate change. Our findings highlight the need to consider the impacts of climate change on ATFP when developing climate adaptation strategies in agriculture. |
| WOS关键词 | HEAT-STRESS ; CROP YIELDS ; TEMPERATURE ; IMPACTS ; GROWTH ; WHEAT ; SCENARIO ; TRENDS |
| WOS研究方向 | Agriculture ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001208772900001 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/204819]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhou, Hong,Tao, Fulu,Chen, Yi,et al. Climate change reduces agricultural total factor productivity in major agricultural production areas of China even with continuously increasing agricultural inputs[J]. AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,2024,349:109953. |
| APA | Zhou, Hong.,Tao, Fulu.,Chen, Yi.,Yin, Lichang.,Wang, Yicheng.,...&Zhang, Shuai.(2024).Climate change reduces agricultural total factor productivity in major agricultural production areas of China even with continuously increasing agricultural inputs.AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,349,109953. |
| MLA | Zhou, Hong,et al."Climate change reduces agricultural total factor productivity in major agricultural production areas of China even with continuously increasing agricultural inputs".AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY 349(2024):109953. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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