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Evaluating the future total water storage change and hydrological drought under climate change over lake basins, East Africa

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Seka, Ayalkibet M.7,8,9,10; Guo, Huadong8,9; Zhang, Jiahua8,9,10; Han, Jiaqi8,9; Bayable, Eyale6; Ayele, Gebiaw T.4,5; Workneh, Habtamu T.3; Bayouli, Olfa T.9; Muhirwa, Fabien2; Reda, Kidane W.1
刊名JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
出版日期2024-04-01
卷号447页码:17
关键词Total water storage change Machine learning El Nino -Southern oscillation Climate change scenario Hydrological drought
ISSN号0959-6526
DOI10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.141552
英文摘要Climate change led an increase in the frequency of severe droughts, the effects of which are exacerbated by a lack of water storage. Despite increasing research on global -scale total water storage (TWS) change and drought prediction, basin -scale long-term hydrological drought, TWS change, and El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influence in East Africa (EA) remain unexplored. In this paper, we used multiple approaches, of ensemble machine learning (ML) and weighted averaging, to conduct a basin -scale exploratory analysis of future hydrological drought and TWS change for the period 2025-2099. Climate change will affect future hydrological conditions in the basins, with maximum severity values of -90.3, -726.6, and -2567.7 Gt in the Tana, Turkana, and Victoria basins, respectively, under RCP6.0. Similarly, we found maximum severities of -187.5 and -277.7 Gt in the Abaya-Chamo and Tanganyika basins, respectively, under RCP 2.6. The most severe El Nino drought and exceptional La Nina conditions in the basins were found under both RCP scenarios. To ensure future water security in EA, sustainable water resource management strategies that can mitigate the impacts of extreme climate events in the future are urgently needed.
WOS关键词RIVER-BASIN ; SATELLITE-OBSERVATIONS ; POTENTIAL IMPACTS ; GRACE ; VICTORIA ; RAINFALL ; MODEL ; PRECIPITATION ; ETHIOPIA ; WAVELET
资助项目Central Guiding Local Science and Technology Development Fund of Shandong-Yellow River Basin Collaborative Science and Technology Innovation Special Project[YDZX2023019] ; Chinese Academy Sciences Strategic Priority Research Program[XDA19030402] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42071425] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41871020] ; Taishan Scholar Project of Shandong Province[TSXZ201712] ; Chinese Academy of Science (CAS)
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001202900000001
出版者ELSEVIER SCI LTD
资助机构Central Guiding Local Science and Technology Development Fund of Shandong-Yellow River Basin Collaborative Science and Technology Innovation Special Project ; Chinese Academy Sciences Strategic Priority Research Program ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Taishan Scholar Project of Shandong Province ; Chinese Academy of Science (CAS)
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/204970]  
专题陆地水循环及地表过程院重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Zhang, Jiahua
作者单位1.Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.Griffith Univ, Sch Engn, Nathan, Qld 4111, Australia
5.Griffith Univ, Australian River Inst, Nathan, Qld 4111, Australia
6.Addis Ababa Univ, Coll Nat & Computat Sci, Ctr Environm Sci, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
7.Arba Minch Univ, Arba Minch Water Technol Inst, Water Resources Res Ctr, Arba Minch, Ethiopia
8.Int Res Ctr Big Data Sustainable Dev Goals, Beijing 100094, Peoples R China
9.Chinese Acad Sci, Aerosp Informat Res Inst, Key Lab Digital Earth Sci, Beijing 100094, Peoples R China
10.Qingdao Univ, Coll Comp Sci & Technol, Remote Sensing Informat & Digital Earth Ctr, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Seka, Ayalkibet M.,Guo, Huadong,Zhang, Jiahua,et al. Evaluating the future total water storage change and hydrological drought under climate change over lake basins, East Africa[J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,2024,447:17.
APA Seka, Ayalkibet M..,Guo, Huadong.,Zhang, Jiahua.,Han, Jiaqi.,Bayable, Eyale.,...&Reda, Kidane W..(2024).Evaluating the future total water storage change and hydrological drought under climate change over lake basins, East Africa.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,447,17.
MLA Seka, Ayalkibet M.,et al."Evaluating the future total water storage change and hydrological drought under climate change over lake basins, East Africa".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 447(2024):17.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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