Mapping the future afforestation distribution of China constrained by a national afforestation plan and climate change
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Song, Shuaifeng2,3; Zhang, Xuezhen1,3; Yan, Xiaodong2 |
| 刊名 | BIOGEOSCIENCES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2024-06-13 |
| 卷号 | 21期号:11页码:2839-2858 |
| DOI | 10.5194/bg-21-2839-2024 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Afforestation has been considered a critical nature-based solution to mitigate global warming. China has announced an ambitious afforestation plan covering an area of 73.78 x 10 4 km 2 for the period 2020-2050. However, it is unclear which areas will be suitable for afforestation under future climate change. Here, we carried out a finer-resolution ( 25 x 25 km) dynamical downscaling of climate change for China using the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model nested with the bias-corrected MPI-ESM1-2-HR model. Then, using the Holdridge life zone model forced by the WRF model output, we mapped the climatological suitability for forests in China. The results showed that the potential forestation domain (PFD) at present (1995-2014) approximated 500.75 x 10 4 km 2 , and it would increase by about 3.49 % to 518.25 x 10 4 km 2 in the period 2041-2060 under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenario (SSP2-4.5). Considering the expansion of the future PFD due to climate change, the afforestation area for each province was allocated to grid cells following the climatological suitability for forests. The new afforestation grid cells would be located around and to the east of the Hu Line (a geographical division stretching from Heihe to Tengchong). Due to afforestation, the land cover would be modified. The conversion from grasslands to deciduous broadleaf forests in northern China took up the most area, accounting for 40 % of the new afforestation area. The grid-cell-resolved afforestation dataset was consistent with the provincial afforestation plan and the future climatological forest suitability. The dataset would be valuable for investigating the impacts of future afforestation on various aspects, including the carbon budget, ecosystem services, water resources, and surface hydroclimate regime. |
| WOS关键词 | SNOW COVER CHANGES ; REGIONAL CLIMATE ; LAND-USE ; VEGETATION DISTRIBUTION ; WEATHER FORECASTS ; CHANGE MITIGATION ; LOESS PLATEAU ; FOREST COVER ; MODEL ; PRECIPITATION |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001244732200001 |
| 出版者 | COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/205313]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Xuezhen; Yan, Xiaodong |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 2.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Song, Shuaifeng,Zhang, Xuezhen,Yan, Xiaodong. Mapping the future afforestation distribution of China constrained by a national afforestation plan and climate change[J]. BIOGEOSCIENCES,2024,21(11):2839-2858. |
| APA | Song, Shuaifeng,Zhang, Xuezhen,&Yan, Xiaodong.(2024).Mapping the future afforestation distribution of China constrained by a national afforestation plan and climate change.BIOGEOSCIENCES,21(11),2839-2858. |
| MLA | Song, Shuaifeng,et al."Mapping the future afforestation distribution of China constrained by a national afforestation plan and climate change".BIOGEOSCIENCES 21.11(2024):2839-2858. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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