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Analysis of the Impact of US Trade Policy Uncertainty on China's Grain Trade

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Yang, Lulu2; Gai, Yankai2; Zhang, An1; Wang, Lihui2
刊名SUSTAINABILITY
出版日期2024-06-01
卷号16期号:11页码:4332
关键词international trade trade frictions food trade trade protectionism vector autoregression
DOI10.3390/su16114332
产权排序2
文献子类Article
英文摘要U.S. trade protectionism has frequently risen recently, and trade policy fluctuations have become increasingly significant. In this context, examining the impact of U.S. trade policy uncertainty on China's grain trade is of great significance to China's response to changes in the international trade situation, guaranteeing national food security and promoting sustainable agricultural development. From the statistical data, the U.S. trade policy uncertainty and China's grain imports primarily show a reverse trend, and China's grain exports show a positive trend. To further explore the impact of U.S. trade policy uncertainty on China's grain trade, this study selects the monthly data from July 2003 to December 2022. It conducts impulse response analysis by constructing a vector autoregressive model with stochastic volatility. It is found that the impact of U.S. trade policy uncertainty on China's grain trade has prominent time-varying characteristics and point-in-time effects, and the impact on different kinds of grain is heterogeneous. In this regard, China needs to clarify the nature of the trade dispute between China and the United States, reasonably utilize the multilateral coordination mechanism of the WTO, coordinate the international and domestic markets, adjust the short board of grain trade, and safeguard the sustainable development of Chinese agriculture.
WOS关键词REAL OPTIONS ; DEVELOPING-COUNTRIES ; MARKET ; AUTOREGRESSIONS ; INVESTMENT ; MODEL ; WTO
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS记录号WOS:001245434800001
出版者MDPI
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/205330]  
专题资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Zhang, An
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.China Univ Min & Technol Beijing, Sch Law & Humanities, Res Ctr Land Policy, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Yang, Lulu,Gai, Yankai,Zhang, An,et al. Analysis of the Impact of US Trade Policy Uncertainty on China's Grain Trade[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2024,16(11):4332.
APA Yang, Lulu,Gai, Yankai,Zhang, An,&Wang, Lihui.(2024).Analysis of the Impact of US Trade Policy Uncertainty on China's Grain Trade.SUSTAINABILITY,16(11),4332.
MLA Yang, Lulu,et al."Analysis of the Impact of US Trade Policy Uncertainty on China's Grain Trade".SUSTAINABILITY 16.11(2024):4332.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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