Response of Streamflow to Future Land Use and Cover Change and Climate Change in the Source Region of the Yellow River
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhan, Hao3; Zhang, Jiang2; Wang, Le3; Yu, Dongxue3; Xu, Min1; Zhu, Qiuan1 |
| 刊名 | WATER
 |
| 出版日期 | 2024-05-01 |
| 卷号 | 16期号:10页码:17 |
| 关键词 | Yellow River source region CMIP6 climate change flow LAI |
| DOI | 10.3390/w16101332 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhu, Qiuan(zhuq@hhu.edu.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | This study utilizes meteorological and leaf area index (LAI) data for three shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) from four general circulation models (GCMs) of the sixth climate model intercomparison project (CMIP6) spanning from 2015 to 2099. Employing calibrated data and incorporating future land use data under three SSPs, the distributed hydrology soil vegetation model (DHSVM) is employed to simulate streamflow in the source region of the Yellow River (SRYR). The research aims to elucidate variations in streamflow across different future scenarios and to estimate extreme streamflow events and temporal distribution changes under future land use and cover change (LUCC) and climate change scenarios. The main conclusions are as follows: The grassland status in the SRYR will significantly improve from 2020 to 2099, with noticeable increases in temperature, precipitation, and longwave radiation, alongside a pronounced decrease in wind speed. The probability of flooding events increases in the future, although the magnitude of the increase diminishes over time. Both LUCC and climate change contribute to an increase in the multi-year average streamflow in the region, with respective increments of 48.8%, 24.5%, and 18.9% under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5. Notably, the fluctuation in streamflow is most pronounced under SSP5-8.5. In SSP1-2.6, the increase in streamflow during the near future (2020-2059) exceeds that of the distant future (2059-2099). Seasonal variations in streamflow intensify across most scenarios, leading to a more uneven distribution of streamflow throughout the year and an extension of the flood season. |
| WOS关键词 | IMPACTS ; BASIN ; HYDROLOGY ; RUNOFF |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001231361100001 |
| 出版者 | MDPI |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/205462]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhu, Qiuan |
| 作者单位 | 1.Hohai Univ, Coll Geog & Remote Sensing, Nanjing 210098, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Hohai Univ, Coll Hydrol & Water Resources, Nanjing 210098, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhan, Hao,Zhang, Jiang,Wang, Le,et al. Response of Streamflow to Future Land Use and Cover Change and Climate Change in the Source Region of the Yellow River[J]. WATER,2024,16(10):17. |
| APA | Zhan, Hao,Zhang, Jiang,Wang, Le,Yu, Dongxue,Xu, Min,&Zhu, Qiuan.(2024).Response of Streamflow to Future Land Use and Cover Change and Climate Change in the Source Region of the Yellow River.WATER,16(10),17. |
| MLA | Zhan, Hao,et al."Response of Streamflow to Future Land Use and Cover Change and Climate Change in the Source Region of the Yellow River".WATER 16.10(2024):17. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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